Kalshi · American football
fresh.bed is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 56 picks, 60.7% win rate, $7K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 20 won, 40 lost, 33.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 30 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% |
| NCAAF | 23 | 23 | 13 | 56.5% |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
fresh.bed mainly predicts NFL: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.7% hit rate over 56 orders, P&L $7K, ROI 44.7%. In NFL, 4 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-01 02:20 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | San Antonio Spurs 121:111 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | San Antonio wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Detroit Pistons 97:89 Charlotte Hornets NBA | Brandon Miller: 35+ points | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Carolina Panthers 13:43 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Over 56.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Charlotte Hornets 115:110 Miami Heat NBA | CHA +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 57:24 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Oklahoma St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | TCU Horned Frogs 20:24 West Virginia Mountaineers NCAAF | West Virginia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | Over 68.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Michigan Wolverines 21:18 Penn St. NCAAF | Penn St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Air Force Falcons 41:31 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | Air Force wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Clemson Tigers 37:0 Charleston Southern Buccaneers NCAAF | CLEM +38.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Texas Longhorns 24:27 Florida Gators NCAAF | FLA +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | West Virginia Mountaineers 45:42 Cincinnati NCAAF | West Virginia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Temple Owls 31:38 Charlotte NCAAF | 1H Over 23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | West Virginia Mountaineers 45:42 Cincinnati NCAAF | CIN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | Over 65.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | J.K. Dobbins: 50+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Bo Nix: 125+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Texas State Bobcats 66:27 Colorado State Rams NCAAF | TXST +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | UAB Blazers 30:17 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | ECU -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | UAB Blazers 30:17 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | ECU -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | Over 63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 58:7 Stanford Cardinal NCAAF | Team Under 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Arkansas State Red Wolves 49:56 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | USA -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | UTSA Roadrunners 31:24 South Florida Bulls NCAAF | South Florida wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Kenny Gainwell: 20+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Over 65.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Over 56.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Over 62.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | Over 64.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI Bears 23:12 New York Jets NFL | Over 60.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI Bears 23:12 New York Jets NFL | Over 57.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | CHI Bears 23:12 New York Jets NFL | Over 63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | CIN Bengals 17:22 JAC Jaguars NFL | Over 67.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Over 70.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | South Alabama Jaguars 52:35 Louisiana-Monroe NCAAF | South Alabama wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Buffalo 17:20 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | WMU -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Air Force Falcons 14:9 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | AFA +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Boise State Broncos 37:18 Utah St. NCAAF | BSU +27.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Over 56.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Under 24.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Marcus Mariota: 175+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Sam Darnold: 275+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Marcus Mariota: 150+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco Giants 1:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | MICH +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Louisville Cardinals 27:30 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | Wake Forest wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Kentucky Wildcats 45:21 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | 1H Under 20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami 3:8 Atlanta MLB | MIA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | 1Q Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Over 61.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Jacksonville Jaguars 35:6 New England Patriots NFL | Over 59.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Over 61.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Over 64.5 | Lost |