Kalshi · Football
excess.wagtail6764 is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 51 picks, 68.6% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 22 won, 38 lost, 36.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 16 | 16 | 10 | 62.5% |
| Intl Friendlies | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| MLB | 9 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| MLS | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Eredivisie | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
excess.wagtail6764 mainly predicts Nations League: 16 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.6% hit rate over 51 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 62.8%. In Nations League, 10 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-26 22:17 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 1:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) Eredivisie | Feyenoord wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | AFC Ajax 2:0 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Conference League | Ajax wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | FC Cincinnati 0:2 Columbus Crew (Columbus) MLS | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Bahia 0:3 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Final score Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Real Madrid 4:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Enschede 1:2 FC Utrecht Eredivisie | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | FC Groningen 2:5 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | LA Galaxy 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | LA Galaxy 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Los Angeles G wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | New England 1:0 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Minnesota 3:2 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | Saint Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Philadelphia 2:2 Charlotte FC MLS | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Den Haag 2:1 PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) Eredivisie | Eindhoven wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Chicago White Sox 5:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Inter Toronto FC 1:2 FC Supra du Québec (FC Supra Du Quebec) Canadian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Argentina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | ARG -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | F5 Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 7:0 Burkina Faso men's national football team (Burkina Faso) Intl Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | ESP -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2:1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | Finland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0:2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Colombia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Helmond 2:2 Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle 2:1 Kansas City MLS | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) Nations League | Switzerland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:4 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) Nations League | Romania wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Turkiye 1:4 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Turkiye wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | USA 4:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 4:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Atlante wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Italy wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 0:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) Nations League | Poland wins | Won |