Kalshi · American football
dmparker is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 28 picks, 71.4% win rate, $533 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 18 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% |
| MLB | 16 | 16 | 10 | 62.5% |
| NCAAF | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| Nations League | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ligue 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
dmparker mainly predicts NFL: 18 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.4% hit rate over 28 orders, P&L $533, ROI 32.7%. In NFL, 6 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-20 18:09 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | BOS +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | DET +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Austin Ekeler: 2+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Austin Ekeler: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Jayden Daniels: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | George Kittle: 1st Touchdown | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Christian McCaffrey: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Christian McCaffrey: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Air Force Falcons 41:31 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | UNLV +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Texas Longhorns 24:27 Florida Gators NCAAF | TEX -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Tulane Green Wave 31:17 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | MEM -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 32:35 Appalachian St. NCAAF | APP +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) 0:3 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Oklahoma wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Lotte Giants 10:1 LG Twins Korea KBO | LG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | CeeDee Lamb: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | DAL -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Lamine Yamal: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | Harry Kane: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Troy 55:34 Southern Miss Golden Eagles NCAAF | Under 52.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Drake London: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Clemson Tigers 13:41 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Delaware Blue Hens 14:30 Liberty Flames NCAAF | LIB -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | UNT +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | DeVonta Smith: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jalen Hurts: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Saquon Barkley: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | ORE -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Ohio St. 42:19 Illinois Fighting Illini NCAAF | OSU +27.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | CLEM +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 6:5 Houston MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Jonnu Smith: 15+ receiving yards | Lost |