Kalshi · Football
dan.big is a La Liga pro on Kalshi: 53 picks, 71.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 47 won, 13 lost, 78.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 15 | 15 | 13 | 86.7% |
| Intl Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| MLS | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Nations League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Peru Liga 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Europa League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
dan.big mainly predicts La Liga: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.7% hit rate over 53 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 53.6%. In La Liga, 13 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-17 16:12 UTC+0. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 0:1 Atletico La Liga | Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 4:0 Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 6:0 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) 0:2 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) 0:2 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Paraguay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:2 Netherlands Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | FRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Tanzania men's national football team (Tanzania) 0:2 Guinea Bissau AFCON | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3:3 FC Dallas MLS | Saint Louis wins 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Ind. Medellin 2:1 Llaneros Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Sport Boys 1:0 Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) Peru Liga 1 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 0:2 Bilbao La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 0:2 Bilbao La Liga | ATH +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Sport Boys 1:0 Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) Peru Liga 1 | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Girona FC 5:2 UD Las Palmas La Liga 2 | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Sevilla FC 1:3 Atletico La Liga | Sevilla vs Atletico Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Levante UD 5:2 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Leipzig 3:0 M´gladbach Bundesliga | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:1 Leon Liga MX | Final score Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 2:1 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Cobresal (CD Cobresal) 2:0 C.D. Palestino (CD Palestino) Chile Liga de Primera | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Cobresal (CD Cobresal) 2:0 C.D. Palestino (CD Palestino) Chile Liga de Primera | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | San Lorenzo 0:3 Club Nacional Asunción APF Division de Honor | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Santander 3:2 Elche CF La Liga | Racing Santander wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Rio Ave F.C. (Rio Ave FC) 0:4 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Sporting CP wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Lille OSC (Lille) 2:2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | Lille vs PSG Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) 0:0 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Copa do Brasil | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FK Kauno Žalgiris (Kauno) 1:0 Besiktas Europa League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Kuopion Palloseura 1:0 Shamrock Conference League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | NK Celje 1:1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava Champions League | NK Celje To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | RMA +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 1:2 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Champions League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | LASK Linz (LASK) 5:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Champions League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Livorno 2:1 Sassari Serie C | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Al Ittihad 3:2 Al-Hazm Saudi Pro League | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 0:1 SS Lazio Serie A | Bologna vs Lazio Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Toronto FC MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Club Universitario de Deportes (Universitario) 3:0 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | Universitario vs Los Chankas CYC Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) German Super Cup | Reg Time: Bayern Munich | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Espanyol vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Inter Milan (Inter) 4:1 AC Monza Serie A | Inter vs Monza Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Inter Milan (Inter) 4:1 AC Monza Serie A | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Hull City vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Juarez 1:2 America Liga MX | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Arsenal vs Coventry Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 1:0 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Macara 0:0 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Macara vs Santos Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) 1:1 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) La Liga | Vallecano vs Alaves Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 3:1 Aarhus Europa League | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Besiktas 3:0 FK Kauno Žalgiris (Kauno) Europa League | Besiktas vs Kauno Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Portland Fire (Portland) 3:1 San Diego FC MLS | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Orlando 1:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |