Kalshi · Baseball
cesinho is a Leagues Cup pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 66.7% win rate, $213 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 23 won, 37 lost, 38.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leagues Cup | 15 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% |
| MLB | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| WNBA | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Champions League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
cesinho mainly predicts Leagues Cup: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $213, ROI 59.2%. In Leagues Cup, 6 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-18 19:10 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 2:2 Viking FK Champions League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:5 Miami Marlins MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | Deportivo De La Coruna vs Elche Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Cardiff City F.C. (Cardiff) 1:1 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Championship | Cardiff vs Wrexham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Fire FC 2:1 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 3:0 Levante UD La Liga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 3:0 Levante UD La Liga | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 3:4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces 83:76 Washington Mystics WNBA | LV -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Seattle 1:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Seattle vs Guadalajara Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Orlando 2:2 San Luis Leagues Cup | ORL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 Nashville SC Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) 2:1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Leverkusen) Club Friendlies | Nottingham vs Leverkusen Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Leagues Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 3:0 AC Sparta Prague (Sparta Prague) Champions League | OL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | FK Crvena zvezda 0:2 Be`er Sheva Champions League | Crvena Zvezda vs Be`er Sheva: Crvena Zvezda To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | San Diego Padres 3:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Dream 107:95 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 185.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. (Plymouth) 2:0 Exeter EFL Cup | Plymouth vs Exeter: Exeter To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. (Plymouth) 2:0 Exeter EFL Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. (Plymouth) 2:0 Exeter EFL Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Austin FC 3:0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Austin FC 3:0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego FC 1:0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego FC 1:0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | San Diego FC vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia 3:1 Club Necaxa Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 New York City FC Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 New York City FC Leagues Cup | Cruz Azul vs New York City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 0:2 Paranaense Brasileiro Serie A | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 0:2 Paranaense Brasileiro Serie A | Santos vs Paranaense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) 0:2 S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) Brasileiro Serie A | Bragantino vs Corinthians Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:2 Viseu Liga Portugal | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:2 Viseu Liga Portugal | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Royal Antwerp F.C. (Royal Antwerp FC) 2:1 Sportkring Beveren (SK Beveren) Belgian Pro League | Royal Antwerp vs Beveren Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | San Francisco Giants 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New England 0:2 Houston MLS | HOU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Valencia 1:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:2 Villarreal CF Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Barcelona 1:0 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 3:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Leverkusen) 2:1 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Elche CF 3:0 Toulouse FC Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Kansas City Royals 8:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Golden State Valkyries 92:81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 169.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Union Gilloise 3:3 Bodoe/Glimt Champions League | Union Gilloise vs Bodoe/Glimt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 2:5 SV Elversberg (Elversberg) Club Friendlies | Strasbourg Alsace vs Elversberg Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Sky 101:106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 177.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Atlanta Dream 87:109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Chelsea Gray: 6+ rebounds | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Jeju SK FC 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | BMU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Jeju SK FC 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |