Kalshi · Football
aim.stair is a MLS pro on Kalshi: 99 picks, 66.7% win rate, $15K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Liga MX | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
aim.stair mainly predicts MLS: 7 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 99 orders, P&L $15K, ROI 12.9%. In MLS, 6 of 7 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-15 20:57 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 1:0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga 2 | St. Pauli wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | AFC Bournemouth 2:2 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 3:0 SC Paderborn 07 (Paderborn) Bundesliga | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. (Bolton) 1:0 Cardiff City F.C. (Cardiff) EFL Championship | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0:3 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0:3 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Club Necaxa 0:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Unión de Santa Fe (Union Santa Fe) 2:1 Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) Argentina Primera Division | Union Santa Fe vs Lanus Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Kansas City 0:2 Houston MLS | Kansas City vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:1 America Liga MX | Atlante vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Cali 2:0 Jaguares Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Cali vs Jaguares Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Orlando Pride 1:0 Chicago Stars FC NWSL | Orlando vs Chicago Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Llaneros 1:0 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Llaneros vs Pereira Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) 2:1 Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Racing Avellaneda vs Gimnasia La Plata Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Defensa y Justicia 1:1 Club Atlético Aldosivi (Aldosivi) Argentina Primera Division | Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Boca Juniors 1:0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Boca Juniors vs O´Higgins Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Botafogo FC 0:0 Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A | Botafogo vs Vitoria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Leones 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Guayaquil City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Leones 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Guayaquil City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Los Angeles FC 3:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Colorado 1:0 San Diego FC MLS | Colorado vs San Diego FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Colorado 1:0 San Diego FC MLS | Colorado vs San Diego FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Nashville SC 1:0 Montreal MLS | Nashville vs Montreal Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | New England 0:0 Toronto FC MLS | New England vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 2:1 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Brasileiro Serie B | Vila Nova vs Fortaleza Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Avai 2:1 America FC Brasileiro Serie B | Avai vs America FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Libertad Loja 1:0 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Delfin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Club Alianza Lima 2:1 Huancayo Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Lima vs Huancayo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Boston Legacy FC 1:2 Washington NWSL | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 1:0 Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Dalian Yingbo F.C. (Dalian Yingbo FC) 3:1 Shandong Taishan Chinese Super League | Dalian Yingbo FC vs Shandong Taishan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | LA Galaxy 0:3 Los Angeles FC MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | San Luis 2:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | San Luis vs Cruz Azul Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) 2:1 Macara Ecuador LigaPro | Delfin vs Macara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 1:1 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | America FC 1:1 Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Ceara Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) 1:0 Club Deportivo Garcilaso (Deportivo Garcilaso) Peru Liga 1 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Albion F.C. (Albion FC) 0:1 Las Piedras Uruguay Primera Division | Albion vs Las Piedras Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) 0:0 Vasteraas SK Allsvenskan | Mjallby vs Vasteraas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Goteborg 2:1 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Goteborg vs Brommapojkarna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 0:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs Delfin Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Figueirense Futebol Clube (Figueirense) 0:0 Volta Redonda Futebol Clube (Volta Redonda) Brasileiro Serie C | Figueirense vs Volta Redonda Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Cerro Largo FC 1:1 Defensor Uruguay Primera Division | Cerro Largo vs Defensor Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) 0:0 Club Nacional de Football Uruguay Primera Division | Danubio vs Nacional Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 0:0 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs Orense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Shandong Taishan 4:3 Yunnan Yukun F.C. (Yunnan Yukun) Chinese Super League | Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Sacramento Republic FC 2:1 Rhode Island FC USL Championship | Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Tallinna Lastestaadion (Tallinna) 2:3 Iberia Champions League | Tallinna vs Iberia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | FC Kairat (Kairat) 2:1 Sutjeska Nikšić (Sutjeska Niksic) Champions League | Kairat vs Sutjeska Niksic Winner | Lost |