Kalshi · Baseball
Garlic.butter is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 63.2% win rate, $332 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 | 21 | 14 | 66.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 11 | 61.1% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Garlic.butter mainly predicts MLB: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $332, ROI 22.8%. In MLB, 14 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 23:56 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Denver win the 3rd Quarter | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Under 49.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Under 52.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Jared Goff: 250+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | DEN -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | DEN +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Kentucky Wildcats 35:34 LSU Tigers NCAAF | 1H Under 27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Guadeloupe 0:1 Saint Lucia CONCACAF Nations League | Saint Lucia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 1:1 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Serie A | Napoli wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Dodgers 10:4 San Francisco MLB | LAD -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | San Diego 7:6 Miami MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84:0 Portland State Vikings NCAAF | ORE -78.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 20:33 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado 2:9 San Diego MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Washington Nationals 6:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Toros de Tijuana 2:0 Olmecas de Tabasco Mexico LMB | Toros de Tijuana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | KC -23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Leeds United wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles Dodgers 14:1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | LAD -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Detroit Tigers 7:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Detroit Tigers 5:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Under 55.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) 3:2 FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Angels 3:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Houston Astros 6:3 Chicago WS MLB | HOU -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Atlanta Braves 3:7 San Francisco Giants MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Chicago Cubs 6:8 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Miami 6:3 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Seattle 3:0 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Seattle Winner | Won |