Kalshi · Baseball
Esperancia is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 42 picks, 69.0% win rate, $19K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 32 | 32 | 23 | 71.9% |
| NCAAF | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
Esperancia mainly predicts MLB: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.0% hit rate over 42 orders, P&L $19K, ROI 35.2%. In MLB, 23 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-23 03:38 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Kennesaw State Owls 6:34 Liberty Flames NCAAF | Kennesaw St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Syracuse Orange 26:34 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Syracuse wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Miami (FL) 43:35 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Vanderbilt Commodores 21:31 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Arkansas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) 0:0 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 0:1 Atletico La Liga | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Club Tijuana 1:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Penn 27:28 Columbia Lions NCAAF | Columbia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Tulane Green Wave 31:17 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Tulane wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) 2:1 Tecnico Uni Ecuador LigaPro | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 1:2 Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Nicaragua wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego Padres 9:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Nationals 6:4 New York Mets MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego Padres 9:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 12.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Chicago WS 6:9 Colorado MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41:13 Oklahoma NCAAF | Over 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | Under 33.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Louisville Cardinals 27:30 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Seattle 5:7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Diego 4:11 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 9:12 Cleveland MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 10:2 Texas MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | ATL -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta 6:7 Cincinnati MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | San Francisco Giants 4:6 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:13 Kansas City Royals MLB | KC -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Detroit Tigers 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2:19 Chicago Cubs MLB | CHC -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2:19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Astros 3:18 Los Angeles Angels MLB | LAA -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Dallas Wings 94:88 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 6:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks 9:0 Colorado Rockies MLB | AZ -8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Paysandu Sport Club (Paysandu) 2:1 Associação Desportiva Confiança (Confianca) Brasileiro Serie C | Paysandu vs Confianca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | NYM -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad Loja 2:1 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Uni Catolica Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Socuellamos 0:3 Villarrobledo Club Friendlies | Socuellamos vs Villarrobledo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Jujuy 0:2 Club Tristán Suárez (Tristan Suarez) Argentine Nacional B | Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Volos 0:2 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Club Friendlies | Volos vs Kalamata Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Vasteraas SK 1:0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | Vasteraas vs Djurgarden Winner | Won |