Kalshi · Baseball
ChaosPredictor is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 45 picks, 68.9% win rate, $6K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 55 have settled: 37 won, 18 lost, 67.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 48 | 48 | 32 | 66.7% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
ChaosPredictor mainly predicts MLB: 48 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.9% hit rate over 45 orders, P&L $6K, ROI 46.3%. In MLB, 32 of 48 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-01 22:46 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Denver Broncos 28:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Jonah Coleman: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Indiana Pacers 109:114 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Tyrese Maxey: 30+ points, rebounds, and assists | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Indiana Pacers 109:114 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Jaylen Brown: 30+ points, rebounds, and assists | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 90+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Patrick Mahomes: 225+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:2 San Francisco MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Colorado 4:5 Seattle MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Baltimore 5:6 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Athletics 4:12 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | TEX -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | San Francisco Giants 3:6 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3:4 Athletics MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals 5:3 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Miami Marlins 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | New York Yankees 1:3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:10 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 5:6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Atlanta Braves 4:1 Miami Marlins MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:10 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |