Kalshi · Baseball · American football
ArieKelly is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 50 picks, 62.0% win rate, $572 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 33 won, 26 lost, 55.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 27 | 27 | 18 | 66.7% |
| NCAAF | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| WNBA | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nations League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
ArieKelly mainly predicts NFL: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.0% hit rate over 50 orders, P&L $572, ROI 40.9%. In NFL, 18 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 22:28 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLLLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Boston Celtics 125:124 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Over 210.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | New York Knicks 111:97 Detroit Pistons NBA | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Los Angeles Lakers 72:68 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Carolina Panthers 13:43 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Chuba Hubbard: 15+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Carolina Panthers 13:43 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Bryce Young: 200+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Virginia Cavaliers 16:19 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | Virginia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers 24:14 DEN Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI Bears 23:12 New York Jets NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN Bengals 17:22 JAC Jaguars NFL | Over 40.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Under 63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Over 32.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Washington Mystics 75:93 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Indiana Fever 99:89 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | IND -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Under 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Noah Fant: 15+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Tyler Shough: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Over 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan State Spartans 13:31 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | NEB -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | UAB Blazers 24:20 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | Navy wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Minnesota Lynx 86:66 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Connecticut Sun 95:81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 158.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 0:1 Cleveland MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Liberty 65:83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Team Under 88.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Liberty 65:83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | NY -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Indiana Fever 96:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | IND -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Real Madrid CF Femenino 1:1 PSG W Women's Champions League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Over 33.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Under 37.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:23 CLE Browns NFL | Tampa Bay win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL Ravens 17:24 New Orleans Saints NFL | Tyler Shough: 200+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New England Patriots 20:3 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL Falcons 3:34 CAR Panthers NFL | Bijan Robinson: 60+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL Falcons 3:34 CAR Panthers NFL | Team Over 20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27:10 Michigan State Spartans NCAAF | ND -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27:10 Michigan State Spartans NCAAF | Over 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Over 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Cincinnati Reds 0:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Over 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39:22 Green Bay NFL | Over 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Over 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Boise State Broncos 38:20 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Boise St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kentucky Wildcats 17:45 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Alabama wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:6 Houston Astros MLB | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | FC Porto 0:2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Manchester City wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | ND -20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Belgium women's national football team (Belgium W) 80:68 Australia W FIBA World Cup (W) | Belgium wins | Won |