Kalshi · Baseball
straw.box is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 60.6% win rate, $461 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 23 won, 35 lost, 39.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 15 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% |
| NCAAF | 10 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| NBA | 6 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| MLS | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
straw.box mainly predicts MLB: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.6% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $461, ROI 42.9%. In MLB, 7 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-28 17:22 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Panathinaikos F.C. (Panathinaikos) 2:1 Aris Thessaloniki Greek Cup | Panathinaikos wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic NBA | Orlando wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | Detroit Pistons Charlotte Hornets NBA | Charlotte wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | Utah Jazz 105:110 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Utah wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Utah Jazz 105:110 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sacramento Kings 112:123 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Sacramento wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Los Angeles FC 2:2 LA Galaxy MLS | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Cleveland Cavaliers 125:121 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Brooklyn wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) 2:2 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Brasileiro Serie B | Ponte Preta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Unión Deportiva Almería (UD Almería) 2:2 Oviedo La Liga 2 | Almeria wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | K.V.C. Westerlo (Westerlo) 4:4 Sportkring Beveren (SK Beveren) Belgian Pro League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Kashima Antlers (Kashima) 2:3 Kashiwa Reysol (Kashiwa) Japan J1 League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Ulsan HD FC 2:2 FC Pohang Steelers (Pohang Steelers FC) Korea K League 1 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0:1 San Luis Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0:1 San Luis Liga MX | San Luis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Virginia Cavaliers 16:19 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | Duke wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Jarfalla 2:2 Hammarby Talang Ettan | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Sam Houston Bearkats 24:30 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | Sam Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Cincinnati 2:1 D.C. United (D.C. United SC) MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:3 Villarreal CF Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Dewa United 2:0 Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League | Persijap Jepara wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia 1:0 Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Tulane Green Wave 31:17 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Tulane wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Manisa 1:1 Esenler TFF 1. Lig | Manisa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | HNK Hajduk Split (Hajduk) 2:1 AFC Ajax Conference League | Hajduk wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Wanderers 2:1 Albion F.C. (Albion FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 0:1 Olimpia APF Division de Honor | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 0:1 Olimpia APF Division de Honor | Libertad wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 10:2 Texas MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami 3:0 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Utah St. 17:29 Idaho State Bengals NCAAF | Idaho St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Rice Owls 31:3 Houston Christian Huskies NCAAF | Houston Christian wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Vanderbilt Commodores 28:9 Austin Peay Governors NCAAF | Austin Peay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 80:6 Northwestern St. NCAAF | Northwestern St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Charlotte 41:43 The Citadel Bulldogs NCAAF | Charlotte wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: SEA Seahawks wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: TEN Titans wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Liaoning Tieren F.C. (Liaoning Tieren FC) 4:4 Henan F.C. (Henan FC) Chinese Super League | Liaoning Tieren vs Henan Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Shanghai Port F.C. (Shanghai Port) 2:1 Qingdao Hainiu F.C. (Qingdao Hainiu) Chinese Super League | Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Hainiu Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 1:3 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13:34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs Arizona Pro Football game: ARI Cardinals wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Los Angeles F vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Chicago WS 5:10 New York Mets MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Seattle Mariners 5:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Texas Rangers 0:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Houston Astros 3:4 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Chunichi Dragons 5:4 Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Lost |