Kalshi · Baseball
stem.salt is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 48 picks, 63.8% win rate, $11K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 36 | 36 | 21 | 58.3% |
| NFL | 14 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
| NCAAF | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
stem.salt mainly predicts MLB: 36 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.8% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $11K, ROI 16.2%. In MLB, 21 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 22:16 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Christian McCaffrey: 5+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Penn 24:21 Yale NCAAF | Under 49.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | CHI +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | LAR -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34:22 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Under 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Kentucky Wildcats 35:34 LSU Tigers NCAAF | Team Over 30.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oregon Ducks 15:17 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | ORE -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Washington 24:41 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | WASH +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | DET -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 38:14 Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAF | UGA -27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Northwestern Wildcats 34:13 Penn St. NCAAF | Northwestern wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Texas Rangers 0:6 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 6:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | San Diego Padres 3:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 3:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Chicago WS 6:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Under 35.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Boston Red Sox 4:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Houston Astros 1:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7:3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Cleveland Guardians 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | BOS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Minnesota Twins 0:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | MIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Minnesota Twins 0:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Texas Rangers 2:4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Los Angeles Angels 5:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Colorado Rockies 3:7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Athletics 4:23 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | 1H Under 93.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals 3:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Chicago WS 1:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | San Diego 10:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Tampa Bay 1:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Atlanta 6:7 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |