Kalshi · Football
sad.hopeApollinaire is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 70.6% win rate, $850 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 41 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 41 have settled: 25 won, 16 lost, 61.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 10 | 71.4% |
| Conference League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Copa do Brasil | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| A-League Men | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
sad.hopeApollinaire mainly predicts World Cup: 14 of the last 41 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.6% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $850, ROI 31.2%. In World Cup, 10 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-19 02:53 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Sydney FC 0:0 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) A-League Men | Sydney FC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Tijuana de Caliente 0:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Queretaro wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Dubai United 1:1 Shabab AlAhli Dubai Club (Shabab Al-Ahli) UAE Pro League | Shabab Al-Ahli wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Bay FC 1:2 Kansas City Current NWSL | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Al Ahly (EGY) 1:0 Smouha SC (Smouha) Egyptian Premier League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Tokyo Verdy 0:2 Kobe Japan J1 League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) 1:0 Tecnico Uni Ecuador LigaPro | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Atlético Grau (Atletico Grau) 1:0 Melgar Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FK Jablonec 1:0 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) Conference League | Rangers To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | SK Rapid 2:2 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Conference League | Heart of Midlothian To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | SK Brann 0:1 Apollon Limassol FC (Apollon Limassol) Conference League | Brann vs Apollon Limassol Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 2:5 SV Elversberg (Elversberg) Club Friendlies | Strasbourg Alsace vs Elversberg Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | KS Cracovia (Cracovia Krakow) 0:2 Pogoń Szczecin (Pogon Szczecin) Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | CD Recoleta 3:2 Club Nacional Asunción APF Division de Honor | CD Recoleta vs Nacional Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Indonesia men's national football team (Indonesia) 0:3 Vietnam men's national football team (Vietnam) ASEAN Championship | Indonesia vs Vietnam Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) 2:0 S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) Copa do Brasil | Internacional vs Corinthians Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 0:1 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) Argentina Primera Division | River Plate vs Rosario Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 1:1 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Copa do Brasil | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Dundee United F.C. (Dundee United FC) 1:1 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) Scottish Premiership | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) 1:1 Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileiro Serie B | Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club Sjdr Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6:4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6:4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | CFC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | AFC Bournemouth 4:1 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Club Friendlies | Bournemouth vs St. Pauli Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Liepaja 0:2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Conference League | Liepaja vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Malisheva 2:0 Hibernian F.C. (Hibernian FC) Conference League | Malisheva vs Hibernian Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | EGY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | POR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Won |