Kalshi · Baseball
noted.duck1341 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 68.8% win rate, $130 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 23 | 23 | 15 | 65.2% |
| NBA Summer League | 13 | 13 | 7 | 53.8% |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Japan NPB | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| CS2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
noted.duck1341 mainly predicts MLB: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $130, ROI 30.0%. In MLB, 15 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-29 00:05 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Miami Dolphins 12:17 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta vs Miami Pro Football game: Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Carolina Panthers 16:13 Houston Texans NFL | Houston vs Carolina Pro Football game: Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Detroit Tigers 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Pittsburgh Pirates 7:8 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Detroit Tigers 14:0 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Miami Marlins 1:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Defensa y Justicia 1:1 Club Atlético Aldosivi (Aldosivi) Argentina Primera Division | Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | New York Yankees 3:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Kansas City Royals 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | KF Egnatia (Egnatia Rrogozhine) 3:3 NK Celje Champions League | Egnatia Rrogozhine vs NK Celje Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | New York Yankees 3:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians 13:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2:2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Entropy 2:1 BIG Academy CS2 | BIG Academy to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto 89:96 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | TOR -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto 89:96 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Toronto to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Oklahoma 90:108 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Brooklyn to win | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | no goal be scored | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | New 88:110 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | New 88:110 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | New York to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Miami 101:87 Detroit NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Cleveland 100:91 Chicago NBA Summer League | Cleveland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Charlotte 90:92 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Phoenix Mercury 83:96 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | New York Yankees 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Charlotte 90:92 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Charlotte to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Cloud9 1:2 Sentinels VCT Americas | Sentinels to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Gentle Mates 2:1 Pcific Esports VCT EMEA | Gentle Mates to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Charlotte 91:110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | MIL -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Rush 0:2 Fluxo W7M CS2 | Rush to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Leones 1:1 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Cuenca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | New Orleans Saints 20:24 Jacksonville Jaguars NFL | Jacksonville to win | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Yokohama DeNA BayStars 4:5 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Yokohama DeNA BayStars 4:5 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Hanshin Tigers 2:1 Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hanshin Tigers winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | San Diego 3:5 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Washington 2:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Miami 1:4 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Baltimore 6:1 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Team Solid 1:3 la Masia VCL Brazil | la Masia to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Miami 8:4 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Tampa Bay 4:12 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Yomiuri Giants 2:10 Hanshin Tigers Japan NPB | Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 0:1 Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | San Francisco 0:10 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs San Francisco Winner | Won |