Kalshi · Football
distinctive.beaver9781 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 26 picks, 69.2% win rate, $735 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 58 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 31 won, 27 lost, 53.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 30 | 30 | 18 | 60.0% |
| NFL | 19 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
distinctive.beaver9781 mainly predicts World Cup: 30 of the last 58 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.2% hit rate over 26 orders, P&L $735, ROI 21.5%. In World Cup, 18 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-20 01:06 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Under 53.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | George Kittle: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | Under 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Juwan Johnson: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Tyler Shough: 250+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Darren Waller: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Tetairoa McMillan: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Darren Waller: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Sam LaPorta: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA Seahawks 30:23 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Under 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Deshaun Watson: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Over 51.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | Saquon Barkley: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | Under 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Liberty 85:66 Chicago Sky WNBA | Marine Johannes: 2+ threes | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2:19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Extra Time | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | New York Mets 1:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Enner Valencia: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Tampa Bay 0:8 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Chicago WS 7:1 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |