Kalshi · Baseball
betterthanNigel is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 70.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 44 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 44 have settled: 24 won, 20 lost, 54.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 20 | 20 | 14 | 70.0% |
| WNBA | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Japan NPB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
betterthanNigel mainly predicts MLB: 20 of the last 44 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 59.7%. In MLB, 14 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-08 01:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Atlanta Dream 101:98 New York Liberty WNBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Colorado Rockies 1:2 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona 5:2 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Final score FC Barcelona wins 4-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CHC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Angeles Angels 2:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:4 San Diego Padres MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | UNLV Rebels 21:27 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Under 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Texas Rangers 7:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Toronto 89:96 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Under 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Angels 1:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Veronica Burton: 10+ points | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | MIN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | CHI +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0:4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 2:4 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Francisco Giants 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Kahleah Copper: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Detroit 4:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win in Regulation Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Chunichi Dragons 2:1 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ARG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Las Vegas Aces 99:84 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-03 | Tampa Bay 2:7 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | Golden State Valkyries 90:88 Indiana Fever WNBA | Caitlin Clark: 20+ points | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | Baltimore 5:6 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Boston 2:10 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Kansas City 0:7 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-27 | San Francisco 2:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-27 | Milwaukee 2:1 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-26 | Cleveland 93:130 New NBA | Game 4: New York at Cleveland Winner | Won |