Kalshi · Baseball
Mad.Bets is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 52 picks, 63.5% win rate, $449 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 46 | 46 | 28 | 60.9% |
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% |
Mad.Bets mainly predicts MLB: 46 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.5% hit rate over 52 orders, P&L $449, ROI 26.7%. In MLB, 28 of 46 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-19 21:33 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Detroit Tigers 5:9 Chicago WS MLB | DET +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Miami Marlins 1:13 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | PIT +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Detroit Tigers 4:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Braves 4:0 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | ATL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | San Diego Padres 3:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Houston Astros 7:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Minnesota Twins 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | MIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Washington Nationals 2:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Los Angeles Angels 2:3 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Miami Marlins 1:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Miami Marlins 2:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Philadelphia Phillies 0:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Los Angeles Angels 0:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | New York Yankees 3:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Seattle Mariners 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Kansas City Royals 4:3 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 8:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Cleveland Guardians 1:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Toronto Blue Jays 1:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Boston Red Sox 10:0 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Tampa Bay 4:12 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Minnesota 6:5 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Tampa Bay 3:0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Colombia win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Miami 2:0 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | St. Louis 3:4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Houston 1:3 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Chicago Cubs 9:7 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Baltimore 3:9 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Philadelphia 7:11 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Los Angeles Angels 4:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Angeles Angels 3:9 Athletics MLB | A's vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Toronto 4:7 Texas MLB | Texas vs Toronto Winner | Lost |