Kalshi · Baseball
TheDong is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 47 picks, 70.2% win rate, $281 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 30 won, 29 lost, 50.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 28 | 28 | 15 | 53.6% |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NWSL | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Dota 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| MLS | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
TheDong mainly predicts MLB: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.2% hit rate over 47 orders, P&L $281, ROI 9.5%. In MLB, 15 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Team 6seven 1:2 Team Nemesis Dota 2 | Team Nemesis wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 7:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Hanwha Eagles 3:4 KIA Tigers Korea KBO | Kia Tigers vs Hanwha Eagles winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:6 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Athletics 6:10 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | LNG Esports 0:2 Weibo Gaming LPL | Weibo Gaming to win | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Hanwha Life Esports 2:1 T1 LCK | T1 to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Guemes 1:3 Club Tristán Suárez (Tristan Suarez) Argentine Nacional B | Guemes vs Tristan Suarez Winner | Pending |
| 2026-08-03 | Utah Royals FC 5:1 Portland Thorns FC NWSL | Utah Royals vs Portland Thorns Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7:3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger F.C. (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger) 3:2 Yunnan Yukun F.C. (Yunnan Yukun) Chinese Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Yunnan Yukun Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | FC Pohang Steelers (Pohang Steelers FC) 0:1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | New York Mets 0:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Minnesota Twins 0:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | San Diego Padres 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Detroit Tigers 9:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) 1:1 G.S. Iraklis Thessalonikis (men's association football) (Iraklis Thessaloniki) Club Friendlies | Palermo vs Iraklis Thessaloniki Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Elche CF 2:2 Al Ain FC Club Friendlies | Elche vs Al Ain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Çaykur Rizespor (Rizespor) 1:2 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Club Friendlies | Rizespor vs Hull City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Udinese Calcio 1:2 Shabab AlAhli Dubai Club (Shabab Al-Ahli) Club Friendlies | Udinese vs Shabab Al-Ahli Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Lanciano Calcio 1920 (Lanciano FC) 0:1 SSC Bari (Bari) Club Friendlies | Lanciano FC vs Bari Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Los Angeles Angels 4:6 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Comerciantes U. 2:2 Club Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes U. vs Alianza Lima Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego Wave FC 0:2 Seattle Reign FC NWSL | San Diego Wave FC vs Seattle Reign Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Boston Red Sox 6:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2:2 San Luis Liga MX | Tigres vs San Luis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego FC 1:0 FC Dallas MLS | San Diego FC vs Dallas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 FC Cincinnati MLS | Columbus vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Miami Marlins 2:7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Sporting CP 2:0 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | Sporting CP vs Monaco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | FC Porto 2:1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Club Friendlies | Porto vs Aston Villa Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | AZ Alkmaar (Alkmaar) 3:2 Olympiacos F.C. (Olympiacos) Club Friendlies | Alkmaar vs Olympiacos Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Elche CF 0:0 Johor Darul Ta'zim F.C. (Johor Darul Ta'zim) Club Friendlies | Elche vs Johor Darul Ta'zim Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Ilbirs eSports 2:1 Nemiga Gaming Dota 2 | Nemiga Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | TLN Pirates 1:0 Karmine Corp Blue LFL | Karmine Corp Blue to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | New York Mets 2:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle Mariners 0:7 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | New Orleans to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 5:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Seattle Reign FC 2:0 Portland Thorns FC NWSL | Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Detroit 103:94 Cleveland NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals 3:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | New York Mets 0:4 Boston MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Cincinnati 0:1 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |