Kalshi · Football
trap.key is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 69.0% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 23 won, 37 lost, 38.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 40 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% |
| Korea KBO | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Bundesliga | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nations League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
trap.key mainly predicts MLB: 40 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.0% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 20.2%. In MLB, 14 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-06 21:23 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Milwaukee Bucks 97:116 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | 1H Over 119.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Philadelphia 76ers 120:97 New York Knicks NBA | 1H Over 116.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | LG Twins 4:6 KIA Tigers Korea KBO | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | NC Dinos 13:1 SSG Landers Korea KBO | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | F5 Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Lotte Giants 2:6 Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1:5 Cincinnati MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Athletics 6:5 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 5:7 Houston MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Philadelphia 1:5 Milwaukee MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Yankees 9:2 Tampa Bay MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Philadelphia 6:4 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Hanwha Eagles 0:7 Lotte Giants Korea KBO | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5:2 Minnesota MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:9 New York Yankees MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | New York Mets 0:3 Philadelphia MLB | New York M wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | San Francisco Giants 4:6 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 1:1 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 0:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) 2:1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 6:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) 1:3 Schalke 04 (Schalke) Bundesliga | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Pumas UNAM 3:1 Leon Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 5:0 Bodoe/Glimt Champions League | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Atlanta Braves 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | KIA Tigers 1:2 NC Dinos Korea KBO | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Le Havre AC 1:2 Stade Brestois 29 (Stade Brest 29) Ligue 1 | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 4:2 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees 0:6 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Washington Nationals 9:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 5:1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Santander 3:2 Elche CF La Liga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Washington Nationals 1:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Athletics 6:9 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |