Kalshi · Football
thoughtful.wolf1256 is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 68.4% win rate, $416 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Saudi Pro League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
thoughtful.wolf1256 mainly predicts Nations League: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.4% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $416, ROI 14.8%. In Nations League, 6 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-23 15:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Al Ittihad 2:0 Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) Saudi Pro League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | FC Kafr Qasim 0:1 Ashdod Liga Leumit | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Al-Faisaly FC (Al-Faisaly) 1:3 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Cali 0:0 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Kiel 0:0 Hertha BSC (Hertha) Bundesliga 2 | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Al Ahli Doha SC 0:3 Al-Wakrah Sports Club (AL Wakrah SC) Qatar Stars League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Nazareth 0:4 Kfar Saba Liga Leumit | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) 2:1 Abha Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | QAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Madura United F.C. (Madura United) 3:3 Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia Indonesia Super League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Madura United F.C. (Madura United) 3:3 Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia Indonesia Super League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Malut United 3:2 Bali United Indonesia Super League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Team Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) 1:2 Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Al Sadd Sports Club (Al Sadd) 0:2 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) AFC Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Club Atletico All Boys (All Boys) 0:0 Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba (Godoy Cruz) Argentine Nacional B | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Portuguesa FC 0:0 La Guaira Venezuela Liga FUTVE | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Paysandu Sport Club (Paysandu) 1:0 Ferroviaria Brasileiro Serie C | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 1:0 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Tolima 0:0 Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Tolima 0:0 Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 0:1 Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) 2:0 Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Floresta 1:1 Botafogo PB Brasileiro Serie C | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Newell's Old Boys 0:0 Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) Argentina Primera Division | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Aguilas Doradas Rionegro 2:0 Jaguares Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) 2:3 Barracas Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cádiz Club de Fútbol (Cádiz CF) 4:0 Leganes La Liga 2 | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Team Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2:1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2:1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | Finland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Albacete Balompié (Albacete) 1:3 SD Eibar (Eibar) La Liga 2 | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2:1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Club Atlético La Paz (Club Atletico La Paz) 1:2 Venados FC (Venados) Liga de Expansion MX | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0:2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) 1:1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cali 3:1 Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Sao Paulo 1:2 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina) 0:2 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) 1:4 Instituto Cordoba Argentina Primera Division | Instituto Cordoba wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1:2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1:2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) Nations League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | China men's national football team (China PR) 0:5 Palestine men's national football team (Palestine) Intl Friendlies | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 0:2 Uganda men's national basketball team (Uganda) Intl Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Team Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Athletic Club Sjdr 1:2 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Ethiopia men's national football team (Ethiopia) 0:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) AFCON | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Comoros men's national football team (Comoros) 1:0 Namibia AFCON | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Wuxi Wugou 1:0 Ningbo Professional China League 1 | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Botafogo PB 0:0 Maringá Futebol Clube (Maringa) Brasileiro Serie C | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Geylang United FC (Geylang International) 1:0 Tanjong Pagar United Singapore Premier League | Over 2.5 | Lost |