Kalshi · Basketball
soap.arm123 is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 42 picks, 72.5% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 25 | 25 | 12 | 48.0% |
| NFL | 16 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% |
| NBA | 13 | 13 | 8 | 61.5% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
soap.arm123 mainly predicts NCAAF: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.5% hit rate over 42 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 57.2%. In NCAAF, 12 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 03:39 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Los Angeles Clippers 87:103 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | LAL +11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Atlanta Hawks 117:129 Miami Heat NBA | ATL +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | SEA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | ATL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Michigan Wolverines 6:13 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Auburn Tigers 17:38 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Sacramento Kings 120:128 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | POR +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Sacramento Kings 120:128 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Sacramento wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Stanford Cardinal 31:28 NC St. NCAAF | Stanford wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Stanford Cardinal 31:28 NC St. NCAAF | NCST +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Virginia Cavaliers 16:19 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | UVA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | CHI -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | OKC -19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | NYK +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | KC +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | KC +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | CHI -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | CHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | JAC +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | ORE -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Miami (FL) 43:35 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | MIA +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | ND +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | OSU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Los Angeles Lakers 106:121 Denver Nuggets NBA | DEN +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | PUR +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | UAB Blazers 30:17 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | ECU +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | LAC -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | DEN +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Missouri State Bears 24:21 Kennesaw State Owls NCAAF | KENN -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | BYU +11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | LOU +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Los Angeles Lakers 114:110 Sacramento Kings NBA | LAL +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | TB +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | UTSA Roadrunners 31:24 South Florida Bulls NCAAF | UTSA -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Arizona State Sun Devils 19:55 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Arizona St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Arizona State Sun Devils 19:55 Baylor Bears NCAAF | BAY +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Clemson Tigers 13:41 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Tennessee 24:14 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | TENN +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | Idaho wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | MTST +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Northwestern Wildcats 34:13 Penn St. NCAAF | NW +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | North Texas wins | Won |