Kalshi · Football
smurk.killer is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 71.4% win rate, $632 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 31 won, 28 lost, 52.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% |
| Leagues Cup | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Japan J1 League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| USL Championship | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
smurk.killer mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 13 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.4% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $632, ROI 29.1%. In Club Friendlies, 3 of 13 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-11 16:41 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Vancouver Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Club Friendlies | Fulham vs Crystal Palace Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Santander 1:1 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) Club Friendlies | Santander vs Alaves Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Marinos 3:4 Kashima Antlers (Kashima) Japan J1 League | Marinos vs Kashima Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Marinos 3:4 Kashima Antlers (Kashima) Japan J1 League | Marinos vs Kashima Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Gamba Osaka (Gamba) 4:3 Urawa Red Diamonds (Urawa) Japan J1 League | Gamba vs Urawa Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Portland Fire (Portland) 5:2 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Marinos 3:4 Kashima Antlers (Kashima) Japan J1 League | Marinos vs Kashima Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Santander 4:1 Gijon Club Friendlies | Santander vs Gijon Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Portland Fire (Portland) 5:2 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 1:0 Philadelphia Leagues Cup | Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | AF Elbasani (Af Elbasani) 1:3 Partizani Tirana Club Friendlies | Af Elbasani vs Partizani Tirana Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Las Vegas Lights FC (Las Vegas Lights) 0:0 Oakland Roots SC USL Championship | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Club Atlético Peñarol (Penarol) 5:1 Wanderers Uruguay Primera Division | Penarol vs Wanderers Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Cultural Leonesa 1:1 Aviles Club Friendlies | Cultural Leonesa vs Aviles Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 3:0 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Club Friendlies | Mallorca vs PSG Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | KIA Tigers KT Wiz Korea KBO | KT Wiz vs Kia Tigers winner | Pending |
| 2026-08-02 | Newell's Old Boys 2:2 Boca Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Deportivo Riestra (CD Riestra) 0:1 Barracas Argentina Primera Division | Riestra vs Barracas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Club Atlético Aldosivi (Aldosivi) 1:2 Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Aldosivi vs Gimnasia La Plata Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Ratingen 04/19 (Ratingen) Schermbeck Club Friendlies | Ratingen vs Schermbeck Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Ulsan HD FC 3:1 FC Anyang Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD vs FC Anyang Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | KT Wiz 12:1 Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO | Hanwha Eagles vs KT Wiz winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Lexington SC 3:2 Monterey Bay FC USL Championship | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Philadelphia 3:2 Atlanta MLS | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Charleston Battery (Charleston) 5:0 Brooklyn FC USL Championship | Charleston win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1:1 Venados FC (Venados) Liga de Expansion MX | Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 3:2 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Queretaro vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) 1:2 Tolima Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Alianza FC Valledupar vs Tolima Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Club Atlético Peñarol (Penarol) 3:0 Cerro Largo FC Uruguay Primera Division | Penarol vs Cerro Largo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Kansas City Current 1:1 Angel City FC NWSL | Kansas City vs Angel City FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | New York Mets 2:6 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Everton de Viña del Mar (Everton Vina Del Mar) 3:4 Club Social y Deportivo Colo Colo (Colo-Colo) Chile Liga de Primera | Everton vs Colo-Colo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Gliwice 4:3 Wisla Krakow Ekstraklasa | Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Tranmere Rovers F.C. (Tranmere) 2:2 Rochdale AFC EFL Cup | Tranmere vs Rochdale: Rochdale To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chengdu Rongcheng F.C. (Chengdu Rongcheng) 1:1 Wuhan Three Towns F.C. (Wuhan Three Towns FC) Chinese Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Gliwice 4:3 Wisla Krakow Ekstraklasa | Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Beijing Guoan 2:1 Zhejiang Prof. Chinese Super League | Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang Prof. Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Beijing Guoan 2:1 Zhejiang Prof. Chinese Super League | Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang Prof. Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Tranmere Rovers F.C. (Tranmere) 2:2 Rochdale AFC EFL Cup | Tranmere vs Rochdale: Tranmere To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Jeonbuk FC 0:0 FC Seoul Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk vs Seoul Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Laos men's national football team (Laos) 1:4 Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) ASEAN Championship | Laos vs Philippines Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | KT Wiz 7:4 Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO | Hanwha Eagles vs KT Wiz winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | San Luis 0:0 Tijuana de Caliente Liga MX | San Luis vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Juarez 1:5 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Juarez vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | U de Concepcion 0:1 Audax Italiano (Audax) Chile Liga de Primera | U de Concepcion vs Audax Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | U de Concepcion 0:1 Audax Italiano (Audax) Chile Liga de Primera | U de Concepcion vs Audax Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | San Antonio FC 3:1 Indy Eleven USL Championship | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Chankas CYC 3:2 Comerciantes U. Peru Liga 1 | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Libertad Loja 3:0 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Orense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Chankas CYC 3:2 Comerciantes U. Peru Liga 1 | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | F.C. Universitario de Vinto (Universitario de Vinto) 1:1 Guabirá (Guabira) Bolivia Premier Division | Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Dundee United F.C. (Dundee United FC) 1:1 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) Scottish Premiership | Dundee United vs Rangers Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Bromley F.C. (Bromley FC) 0:7 QPR Club Friendlies | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Sporting CP 4:1 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Club Friendlies | Sporting CP vs Nottingham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2:2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |