Kalshi · Football
nail.shock is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 63.9% win rate, $608 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| NCAAF | 13 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Europa League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Champions League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Premier League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
nail.shock mainly predicts NBA: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.9% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $608, ROI 31.5%. In NBA, 9 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-01 05:00 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | America 2:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Fresno State Bulldogs 38:22 Oregon State Beavers NCAAF | Over 63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | UNLV Rebels 31:24 Northern Illinois Huskies NCAAF | Over 71.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Fresno State Bulldogs 38:22 Oregon State Beavers NCAAF | Team Under 24.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Georgia Bulldogs 27:8 Florida Gators NCAAF | UGA +17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Sacramento State Hornets 31:10 Kent State Golden Flashes NCAAF | KENT -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Golden State Warriors 112:95 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | LAL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Golden State Warriors 112:95 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | LAL -11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Phoenix Suns 120:127 Denver Nuggets NBA | DEN -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Toronto Raptors 114:121 Orlando Magic NBA | ORL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Brooklyn Nets 94:110 Detroit Pistons NBA | DET -22.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | UCF Knights 9:41 Baylor Bears NCAAF | BAY -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Oklahoma City Thunder 108:101 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | OKC -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals 16:30 Denver Broncos NFL | Over 43.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:3 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester United wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Uthai Thani FC 1:2 Sukhothai Thai League 1 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | UTAH -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Over 27.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Phoenix Suns 131:122 Golden State Warriors NBA | Under 229.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Chicago Bulls 120:124 Washington Wizards NBA | CHI +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Cleveland Cavaliers 125:121 Brooklyn Nets NBA | CLE +16.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Auburn Tigers 17:38 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU -26.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Michigan Wolverines 6:13 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | IND -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Dundee United F.C. (Dundee United FC) 3:2 Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) Scottish Premiership | Dundee United wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Dundee United F.C. (Dundee United FC) 3:2 Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) Scottish Premiership | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Stanford Cardinal 31:28 NC St. NCAAF | Under 54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Stanford Cardinal 31:28 NC St. NCAAF | STAN +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Golden State Warriors 108:111 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | GSW +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 2:1 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | Criciuma wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Stade Brestois 29 (Stade Brest 29) 1:2 Nice Ligue 1 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 1:1 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Nottingham Forest wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Torino FC 3:2 AC Monza Serie A | Torino wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Granada CF 2:1 Real Valladolid (Valladolid) La Liga 2 | Granada wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Randers FC 1:3 Brøndby IF (Broendby) Danish Superliga | Broendby wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Randers FC 1:3 Brøndby IF (Broendby) Danish Superliga | BRO -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Al Ittihad 2:0 Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) Saudi Pro League | Al-Ittihad wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | The Cong - Viettel 2:2 Bac Ninh Vietnam V-League 1 | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Memphis Tigers 41:34 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | Memphis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | AC Omonia (Omonia Nicosia) 1:4 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Europa League | BEN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | FC Ararat-Armenia (Ararat-Armenia) 0:4 AZ Alkmaar (Alkmaar) Europa League | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | FC Ararat-Armenia (Ararat-Armenia) 0:4 AZ Alkmaar (Alkmaar) Europa League | AZA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Lakers 127:105 Golden State Warriors NBA | LAL -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | New Orleans Pelicans 120:123 Indiana Pacers NBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Washington Wizards 128:116 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | Over 238.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 4:3 Bodoe/Glimt Champions League | NAP +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Pasto 0:1 Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Alianza FC Valledupar wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | 1H Over 28.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 1:1 Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 1:1 Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A | Corinthians wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Junin 1:1 Barracas Argentina Primera Division | Junin wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | GB -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | GB -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | 2H Under 20.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | KC +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Philadelphia Eagles 14:25 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR -4.5 | Lost |