Kalshi · Football
loud.guard is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 26 picks, 76.9% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 12 | 70.6% |
| Nations League | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Japan J1 League | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Liga MX | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
loud.guard mainly predicts MLB: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.9% hit rate over 26 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 80.1%. In MLB, 12 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-14 04:25 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Sacramento Kings 98:110 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | POR -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Detroit win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New York Jets 17:12 Cleveland Browns NFL | New York J wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 3:0 Al-Taawon FC (Al-Taawoun) Saudi Pro League | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | SC Freiburg 2:1 Schalke 04 (Schalke) Bundesliga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Frontale 1:2 Nagoya Grampus (Nagoya) Japan J1 League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Tokyo Verdy 0:2 Hiroshima Japan J1 League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | America 1:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 2:0 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 28:25 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | Duke wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 3:0 Frosinone Calcio Serie A | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:2 Atletico La Liga | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) 1:0 SV Elversberg (Elversberg) Bundesliga | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Kyoto Sanga FC 0:1 FC Machida Zelvia Japan J1 League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Tokyo 3:0 Urawa Red Diamonds (Urawa) Japan J1 League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Cerezo Osaka (Cerezo) 0:0 Marinos Japan J1 League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces 77:87 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Game goes to overtime | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces 77:87 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:3 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 2:2 Bremen Bundesliga | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0:2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Golden State Valkyries 77:73 Dallas Wings WNBA | Golden State wins the 1st quarter | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Martinique 2:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Martinique wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3:0 Turkiye Nations League | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Progreso 2:1 Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Athletics 6:5 Houston MLB | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 0:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 0:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 9:12 Cleveland MLB | first 5 innings tie | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees 10:2 Baltimore MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Grenada 0:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Cuba wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | first 5 innings tie | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay win the 1st Quarter | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 3:1 New York Mets MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1:1 Germany Nations League | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) Nations League | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 3:1 New York Mets MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | first 5 innings tie | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6:5 Houston MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:3 Miami MLB | first 5 innings tie | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2:3 Miami MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit 2:4 Washington MLB | first 5 innings tie | Won |