Kalshi · Football
lamp.theme is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 82.6% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 21 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% |
| Nations League | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| Belgian Pro League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Saudi Pro League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
lamp.theme mainly predicts World Cup: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.6% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 47.3%. In World Cup, 9 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 13:54 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | FC Porto 0:1 PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) Champions League | Porto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | FRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:2 Netherlands Nations League | Netherlands wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) Nations League | Austria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:2 Netherlands Nations League | Netherlands wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | USA 4:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 0:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) Nations League | Bosnia and Herzegovina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | France wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 2:1 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Final score Real Madrid wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (Heidenheim) 2:4 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Anorthosis Famagusta 1:3 APOEL F.C. (APOEL) Club Friendlies | Anorthosis Famagusta vs APOEL Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel SK 0:1 Royal Charleroi S.C. (Royal Charleroi SC) Belgian Pro League | Lommel vs Royal Charleroi Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Burgos CF 3:2 Cordoba La Liga 2 | Burgos vs Cordoba Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Cusco FC 2:0 Juan Pablo II College Sports Club Association (Juan Pablo II College) Peru Liga 1 | Cusco vs Juan Pablo II College Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 2:2 Corum Super Lig | Galatasaray vs Corum Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Almere 3:1 Jong Eindhoven Eerste Divisie | Almere vs Jong Eindhoven Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Al-Wahda S.C.C. (Al Wahda) 2:3 Ajman Club (Ajman) UAE Pro League | Al Wahda vs Ajman Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | IF Elfsborg 3:0 Vasteraas SK Allsvenskan | Elfsborg vs Vasteraas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Kiel 2:2 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Bundesliga 2 | Kiel vs St. Pauli Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Wuhan Three Towns F.C. (Wuhan Three Towns FC) 2:3 Shanghai Port F.C. (Shanghai Port) Chinese Super League | Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Shanghai Port Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) 0:1 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Diriyah Club vs Al Ahli Saudi Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Tarragona 2:2 Huesca Club Friendlies | Tarragona vs Huesca Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 1:3 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) Saudi Pro League | Al-Shabab vs Al Qadsiah Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 0:1 Real Madrid Club Friendlies | Deportivo De La Coruna vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 0:0 Rivadavia CONMEBOL Libertadores | Fluminense vs Rivadavia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) 1:0 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | Goias vs Londrina Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 2:1 Trinidense APF Division de Honor | Libertad vs Trinidense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New England 0:2 Houston MLS | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 1:1 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) Club Friendlies | Napoli vs Celta Vigo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Udinese Calcio 1:0 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Udinese vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Sint-Truidense V.V. (St. Truidense) 1:1 Lommel SK Belgian Pro League | St. Truidense vs Lommel Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 0:1 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Vila Nova vs Sport Recife Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Barbastro 2:1 Lleida Club Friendlies | Barbastro vs Lleida Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 3:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) Club Friendlies | Coventry vs Espanyol Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Lausanne-Sport (Lausanne-Sport) 2:2 BSC Young Boys (Young Boys) Swiss Super League | Lausanne-Sport vs Young Boys Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Jamal Musiala: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Alexander Isak: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Vinicius Junior: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Brazil win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | CAN +3.5 | Lost |