Kalshi · Football
dependent.swallow9655 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 25 picks, 68.0% win rate, $407 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 39 | 39 | 23 | 59.0% |
| WNBA | 14 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
dependent.swallow9655 mainly predicts World Cup: 39 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.0% hit rate over 25 orders, P&L $407, ROI 35.2%. In World Cup, 23 of 39 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-01 01:06 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Atlanta Dream 98:89 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Golden State Valkyries 82:90 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Atlanta Dream 93:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Toronto Tempo 95:108 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Toronto Tempo 95:108 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Toronto winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 86:97 Houston NBA Summer League | Houston to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | New 65:91 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | New York to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 99:93 Cleveland NBA Summer League | Cleveland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Connecticut Sun 80:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Connecticut winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89:90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 91:85 Golden State Blue NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle Storm 72:77 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle Storm 72:77 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 79:76 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Utah 103:102 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Utah 103:102 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Atlanta to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Connecticut Sun 83:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Connecticut winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Washington Mystics 81:76 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Washington winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Golden State Valkyries 76:67 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Washington Mystics 124:123 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Seattle Storm 105:90 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | BEL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1:3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | NED +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | MEX -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | MAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | BRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |