Kalshi · Baseball
casta2002 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 55 picks, 60.0% win rate, $842 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 29 | 29 | 17 | 58.6% |
| WNBA | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| MLS | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
casta2002 mainly predicts MLB: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.0% hit rate over 55 orders, P&L $842, ROI 39.9%. In MLB, 17 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-11 04:13 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | C.D. Santa Clara (Santa Clara Azores) 2:2 CD Nacional Liga Portugal | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | AZ +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3:4 Athletics MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 7:1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 7:0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Chicago Sky 86:90 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 192.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | VfB Stuttgart 3:1 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Club Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Leverkusen) 2:1 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Leverkusen) 2:1 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | BOS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 0:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Mercury 72:63 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Under 153.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | New York Yankees 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Athletics 2:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:1 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Samsung Lions 8:11 Lotte Giants Korea KBO | Lotte Giants vs Samsung Lions winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Indiana Fever 108:88 New York Liberty WNBA | NY +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Indiana Fever 108:88 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 108:88 New York Liberty WNBA | Caitlin Clark: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Pumas UNAM 0:3 CF Pachuca Liga MX | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Seattle Mariners 4:3 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Athletics 15:1 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Toronto Blue Jays 1:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 110:107 Seattle Storm WNBA | IND +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Phoenix Mercury 83:96 Connecticut Sun WNBA | PHX +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | New York Yankees 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Athletics 4:23 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Los Angeles Angels 1:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | LA Galaxy 0:3 Los Angeles FC MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Nashville SC 1:0 Atlanta United FC MLS | Nashville vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | San Luis 2:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | San Luis vs Cruz Azul Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Qingdao Qingchundao F.C. (Qingdao West Coast FC) 1:1 Chengdu Rongcheng F.C. (Chengdu Rongcheng) Chinese Super League | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | SEA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3:2 Kansas City MLS | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3:2 Kansas City MLS | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | PDX -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | Over 160.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 71.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Kelsey Mitchell: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: score or assist | Lost |