Kalshi · Baseball
MoneylineMartin is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 78.8% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 36 won, 23 lost, 61.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 28 | 28 | 23 | 82.1% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 8 | 88.9% |
| NBA Summer League | 7 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| NFL | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
MoneylineMartin mainly predicts MLB: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 78.8% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 33.7%. In MLB, 23 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-10 20:08 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Kansas State Wildcats 16:35 Houston NCAAF | Kansas St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 5:7 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Under 45.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Under 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:41 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | Clemson wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | ORE -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Baltimore Orioles 6:4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:0 Atlanta Braves MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Indianapolis Colts 6:34 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta vs Indianapolis Pro Football game: IND Colts wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati Reds 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CIN -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 3:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Angels 1:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Seahawks 7:17 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Seattle to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Connecticut Sun 75:82 New York Liberty WNBA | 1H Under 88.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Angels 6:7 Kansas City Royals MLB | KC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New England Patriots 13:13 Indianapolis Colts NFL | New England to win | Pending |
| 2026-08-13 | New England Patriots 13:13 Indianapolis Colts NFL | IND -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Yankees 0:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Las Vegas Aces 86:76 Washington Mystics WNBA | LV -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84:86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84:86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | IND -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Sky 95:88 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 12.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Baltimore Orioles 0:8 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84:83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | LV +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0:2 New York Yankees MLB | CHC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | NC Dinos 10:4 KIA Tigers Korea KBO | Kia Tigers vs NC Dinos winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes (Atletic Club) 0:2 FC Vaduz Conference League | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | SK Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz) 4:0 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Champions League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Under 194.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90:99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Over 194.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Houston 90:64 Philadelphia NBA Summer League | Over 170.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111:84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Utah 80:63 Chicago NBA Summer League | Chicago to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Memphis 88:96 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 93:94 Toronto NBA Summer League | IND -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 184.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 190.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 187.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | St. Louis 4:1 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Texas 7:3 Houston MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Tampa Bay 6:1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | St. Louis 4:8 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |