Kalshi · Baseball
Carlosmzq is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 70.0% win rate, $782 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 18 | 18 | 12 | 66.7% |
| NBA Summer League | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Peru Liga 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
Carlosmzq mainly predicts MLB: 18 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $782, ROI 23.3%. In MLB, 12 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-20 04:52 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Croatia women's national football team (Croatia W) 0:4 Iceland women's national football team (Iceland W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Croatia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Manchester City WFC 4:2 Arsenal Women English Women's Super League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | COL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Boca Juniors 1:0 Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Minnesota Twins 4:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Mets 1:3 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Detroit Tigers 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Comerciantes U. 2:3 FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 | Tie wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Washington Nationals 9:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Alaves vs Villarreal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | San Francisco Giants 6:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Cancún F.C. (Cancun FC) 1:2 Club Atlético La Paz (Club Atletico La Paz) Liga de Expansion MX | Club Atletico La Paz wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Orlando 2:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Orlando vs Salt Lake Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) 0:0 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Tolima 0:0 Bucaramanga Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tolima vs Bucaramanga Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Volta Redonda Futebol Clube (Volta Redonda) 1:2 Floresta Brasileiro Serie C | Volta Redonda vs Floresta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Espanyol vs Real Madrid Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) 2:3 Mendoza Argentina Primera Division | Gimnasia La Plata vs Mendoza Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Juarez 1:2 America Liga MX | Juarez vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 1:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Queretaro vs Toluca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Colorado Rockies 1:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Kansas City Royals 5:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees 3:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | New York Yankees 3:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | NYY -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Club Rubio Ñu (Rubio Nu) Trinidense APF Division de Honor | Rubio Nu vs Trinidense Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) 3:1 Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) 3:1 Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Betis vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) 0:1 Al Ittihad Saudi Pro League | Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittihad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Club Atlético Aldosivi (Aldosivi) 1:3 Unión de Santa Fe (Union Santa Fe) Argentina Primera Division | Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 1:0 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Corinthians vs Rosario: Corinthians To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Dallas Wings 91:85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 6:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | New York Mets 0:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) 1:1 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Internacional vs Flamengo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) 1:0 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 5:9 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Guayaquil City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago 99:87 Washington NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Golden 85:106 Memphis NBA Summer League | Memphis to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Brooklyn 115:83 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | BKN -21.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Macara 2:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Houston 90:64 Philadelphia NBA Summer League | Houston to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 2:4 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111:84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | POR -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Boston 90:102 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Boston to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86:75 Detroit NBA Summer League | New York to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Lost |