Polymarket · Football
Lucky-Outlay is a Premier League pro on Polymarket: 76 picks, 64.5% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 44 | 44 | 27 | 61.4% |
| Ligue 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| Champions League | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
Lucky-Outlay mainly predicts Premier League: 44 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.5% hit rate over 76 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 17.1%. In Premier League, 27 of 44 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-18 20:44 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Premier League | Leeds United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester United FC vs Manchester City FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC vs Fulham FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid 2:1 Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Nottingham Forest FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 2:2 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Everton FC vs Manchester United FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 0:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Hull City AFC vs Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC vs Coventry City FC O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 5:2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Newcastle United FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 1:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Sunderland AFC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:1 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Leeds United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Brentford FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC vs Coventry City FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) Premier League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:0 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Premier League | Fulham FC vs Newcastle United FC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:0 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Premier League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 3:0 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | West Ham United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 1:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | AFC Bournemouth to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 0:3 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 1:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Nottingham Forest FC vs AFC Bournemouth O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 0:3 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Manchester United FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 0:3 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 0:3 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Manchester United FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-18 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:0 Burnley F.C. (Burnley) Premier League | Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 2:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-05-15 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-15 | AFC Bournemouth 1:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-11 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 1:3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Everton FC vs Sunderland AFC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-11 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 1:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Leeds United FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-05 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-05 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 2:2 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Everton FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-05 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley) 2:2 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-05 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 3:0 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-05 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley) 2:2 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Aston Villa FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-05 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 0:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Fulham FC vs AFC Bournemouth O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-04 | AS Saint-Étienne 5:0 Amiens SC Ligue 2 | AS Saint-Étienne vs Amiens SC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-04 | Stade de Reims 5:3 Pau Football Club (Pau FC) Ligue 2 | Stade de Reims to win | Won |
| 2026-05-04 | Grenoble Foot 38 1:0 ES Troyes AC Ligue 2 | ES Troyes AC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-04 | AS Saint-Étienne 5:0 Amiens SC Ligue 2 | AS Saint-Étienne to win | Won |
| 2026-05-04 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 3:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Everton FC vs Manchester City FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-04 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 3:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-03 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 1:1 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | FC Bayern München to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-03 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 1:1 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-30 | Amiens SC 1:3 Red Star F.C. (Red Star FC) Ligue 2 | Amiens SC vs Red Star FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-30 | Amiens SC 1:3 Red Star F.C. (Red Star FC) Ligue 2 | Red Star FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-30 | AFC Bournemouth 3:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | AFC Bournemouth to win | Won |
| 2026-04-30 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC vs Fulham FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-30 | ES Troyes AC 4:0 Stade Lavallois (Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC) Ligue 2 | ES Troyes AC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-30 | Rodez AF (Rodez Aveyron Football) 2:1 AS Saint-Étienne Ligue 2 | Rodez Aveyron Football vs AS Saint-Étienne O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-30 | USL Dunkerque 0:1 Grenoble Foot 38 Ligue 2 | USL Dunkerque to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-30 | Pau Football Club (Pau FC) 1:3 AS Nancy-Lorraine Ligue 2 | Pau FC vs AS Nancy-Lorraine O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-29 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid vs Arsenal FC O/U 2.5 | Won |