Polymarket · Football
Gaseous-Friction is a Premier League pro on Polymarket: 62 picks, 66.1% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 39 won, 21 lost, 65.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 25 | 25 | 15 | 60.0% |
| Bundesliga | 21 | 21 | 16 | 76.2% |
| Ligue 1 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 57.1% |
Gaseous-Friction mainly predicts Premier League: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.1% hit rate over 62 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 22.1%. In Premier League, 15 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-05-14 07:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | AFC Bournemouth 1:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-14 | Paris FC 2:1 Paris Saint-Germain FC Ligue 1 | Paris FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-12 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-24 | AFC Bournemouth 3:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-20 | AFC Bournemouth 2:2 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Ryan Christie: Anytime Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-04-20 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:2 F.C. Lorient (FC Lorient) Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-20 | Toulouse FC 2:2 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | AS Monaco FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 3:1 Burnley F.C. (Burnley) Premier League | Burnley FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-13 | RB Leipzig 3:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | 1. FC Köln 1:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln to win | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 3:0 FC Nantes Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-06 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-04-01 | Paris FC 4:1 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | AS Monaco FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-01 | RB Leipzig 1:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-23 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 3:1 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-22 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-03-16 | Paris FC 3:2 Le Havre AC Ligue 1 | Paris FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-08 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 0:0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli 1910 to win | Won |
| 2026-03-05 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-03-04 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 2:2 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) Premier League | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC to win | Won |
| 2026-03-01 | Lille OSC 1:0 FC Nantes Ligue 1 | Lille OSC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-24 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-22 | OGC Nice 3:3 F.C. Lorient (FC Lorient) Ligue 1 | OGC Nice to win | Won |
| 2026-02-22 | SC Freiburg 3:3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | draw | Lost |
| 2026-02-22 | Angers SCO 0:1 Lille OSC Ligue 1 | Lille OSC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) 2:1 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-22 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-21 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:1 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-02-21 | 1. FC Union Berlin 1:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-02-20 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-19 | 1. FC Köln 2:2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Won |
| 2026-02-19 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-02-19 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2:3 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Newcastle United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-18 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-16 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2:3 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Everton FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Won |
| 2026-02-16 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 5:2 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | Le Havre AC 2:1 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Toulouse FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-13 | RB Leipzig 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-02-12 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-01-31 | Hamburger SV 2:2 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-01-31 | SV Werder Bremen 1:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | SV Werder Bremen to win | Won |
| 2026-01-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-29 | 1. FC Köln 1:0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | Won |
| 2026-01-29 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 3:2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach to win | Won |
| 2026-01-24 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley) 2:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Burnley FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-01-23 | RB Leipzig 1:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| 2026-01-23 | Le Havre AC 0:0 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | AS Monaco FC to win | Won |
| 2026-01-23 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt to win | Won |
| 2026-01-23 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 0:0 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | Hamburger SV to win | Won |
| 2026-01-20 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 0:4 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-18 | FC Nantes 1:2 Paris FC Ligue 1 | FC Nantes vs Paris FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-01-18 | VfB Stuttgart 1:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | 1. FC Union Berlin to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-18 | FC Nantes 1:2 Paris FC Ligue 1 | FC Nantes to win | Won |
| 2026-01-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 0:2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Brentford FC to win | Won |
| 2026-01-17 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |