Polymarket · Football · Whale
Severe-Confidentiality is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 61 picks, 80.3% win rate, $270K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 48 won, 12 lost, 80.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 29 | 29 | 24 | 82.8% |
| Leagues Cup | 10 | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
| Korea K League 1 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| Premier League | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Eredivisie | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
Severe-Confidentiality mainly predicts World Cup: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 80.3% hit rate over 61 orders, P&L $270K, ROI 14.5%. In World Cup, 24 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-06 14:46 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 2:2 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Nottingham Forest FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Feyenoord Rotterdam 2:2 ADO Den Haag Eredivisie | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Gwangju FC 2:5 FC Seoul Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 2:1 Ulsan HD FC Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs Ulsan HD FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | FC Seoul 1:0 Bucheon FC 1995 Korea K League 1 | FC Seoul vs Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 3:0 Gangwon FC Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs Gangwon FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Hull City AFC vs Manchester United FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Hull City AFC vs Manchester United FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC vs Coventry City FC O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | AFC Ajax 2:2 SC Heerenveen Eredivisie | AFC Ajax -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | AFC Ajax 2:2 SC Heerenveen Eredivisie | AFC Ajax to win | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Ulsan HD FC 2:3 Gangwon FC Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Incheon United FC 1:1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC Korea K League 1 | Incheon United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | ADO Den Haag 1:4 FC Groningen Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | FC Utrecht 1:4 AZ Alkmaar (AZ) Eredivisie | AZ to win | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Portland Timbers 3:1 Club Tijuana Leagues Cup | Portland Timbers -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New York City FC 1:2 Club Necaxa Leagues Cup | New York City FC vs Club Necaxa O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Club América (CF América) 1:1 Austin FC Leagues Cup | CF América to win | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | San Diego FC 3:2 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | San Diego FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Seattle Sounders FC 1:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | CD Guadalajara to win | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Toluca FC (Deportivo Toluca FC) 3:1 FC Dallas Leagues Cup | Deportivo Toluca FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 Nashville SC Leagues Cup | CF Monterrey to win | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Orlando City SC 2:2 Atletico de San Luis (Atlético San Luis) Leagues Cup | Orlando City SC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Inter Miami CF 2:3 Club León (Club León FC) Leagues Cup | Inter Miami CF to win | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | PSV Eindhoven (PSV) 2:2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie | PSV vs Fortuna Sittard O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Inter Miami CF -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | FC Anyang 2:1 Gangwon FC Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | United States vs Belgium O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | United States to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | United States vs Belgium O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Gwangju FC 1:1 Ulsan HD FC Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Gwangju FC 1:1 Ulsan HD FC Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | England vs DR Congo O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden O/U 1.5 | Won |