Polymarket · Football · Basketball
therealdeal2 is a Bundesliga pro on Polymarket: 215 picks, 84.7% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 55 won, 5 lost, 91.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 15 | 15 | 14 | 93.3% |
| Liga Portugal | 12 | 12 | 12 | 100.0% |
| Europa League | 11 | 11 | 10 | 90.9% |
| Serie A | 10 | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
| EFL Championship | 10 | 10 | 10 | 100.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
therealdeal2 mainly predicts Bundesliga: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 84.7% hit rate over 215 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 29.6%. In Bundesliga, 14 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-24 16:38 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 1:0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | C.F. Estrela da Amadora (CF Estrela da Amadora) 0:2 Casa Pia A.C. (Casa Pia AC) Liga Portugal | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | VfB Stuttgart 2:3 Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Torino FC 3:2 AC Monza Serie A | AC Monza to win | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | NK Celje 2:2 FC Red Bull Salzburg Europa League | FC Red Bull Salzburg to win | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Beşiktaş J.K. (Beşiktaş JK) 2:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Europa League | Beşiktaş JK to win | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Lech Poznań (KKS Lech Poznań) 1:1 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Europa League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Parma Calcio 1913 0:3 Torino FC Serie A | Torino FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | ACF Fiorentina 1:3 Como 1907 Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | AS Roma 2:0 Genoa CFC Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | SV Werder Bremen 2:2 SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga | SC Paderborn 07 to win | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Swansea City A.F.C. (Swansea City AFC) 0:1 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham United FC) EFL Championship | Swansea City AFC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) 4:3 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | FC Augsburg to win | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 1:0 SSC Napoli Serie A | Venezia FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Middlesbrough F.C. (Middlesbrough FC) 2:2 Cardiff City F.C. (Cardiff City FC) EFL Championship | Cardiff City FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 2:1 OFI Crete F.C. (OFI) Europa League | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Olympique de Marseille 0:1 Olympiacos F.C. (Olympiakós SFP) Europa League | Olympique de Marseille to win | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | SC União Torreense 1:2 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Europa League | Sunderland AFC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Lech Poznań (KKS Lech Poznań) 0:4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Lincoln City F.C. (Lincoln City FC) 0:6 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham United FC) EFL Championship | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley) 2:2 Charlton Athletic F.C. (Charlton Athletic FC) EFL Championship | Charlton Athletic FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | SC Freiburg 2:1 Schalke 04 (FC Schalke 04) Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Rio Ave F.C. (Rio Ave FC) 3:2 CD Nacional Liga Portugal | Rio Ave FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Rio Ave F.C. (Rio Ave FC) 3:2 CD Nacional Liga Portugal | CD Nacional to win | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | 1. FC Köln 2:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln to win | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Casa Pia A.C. (Casa Pia AC) 0:1 C.D. Santa Clara (CD Santa Clara) Liga Portugal | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | RB Leipzig 6:0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. (Bolton Wanderers FC) 1:2 Stoke City F.C. (Stoke City FC) EFL Championship | Stoke City FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 3:4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 2:2 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | FC Porto 3:1 S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) Liga Portugal | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | FC Porto 3:1 S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) Liga Portugal | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril Praia) 1:2 Casa Pia A.C. (Casa Pia AC) Liga Portugal | Casa Pia AC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | SC Paderborn 07 3:1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Juventus FC 2:0 Atalanta BC Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Parma Calcio 1913 2:1 Genoa CFC Serie A | Parma Calcio 1913 to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Sporting CP 2:2 F.C. Arouca (FC Arouca) Liga Portugal | Sporting CP to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) 2:1 Southampton F.C. (Southampton FC) EFL Championship | Wrexham AFC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 1:1 Torino FC Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Millwall F.C. (Millwall FC) 2:2 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham United FC) EFL Championship | Millwall FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | AC Monza 2:1 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | AC Monza 2:1 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | US Sassuolo Calcio to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Bristol City F.C. (Bristol City FC) 1:0 Watford F.C. (Watford FC) EFL Championship | Watford FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) 1:2 AFC Bournemouth Europa League | AFC Bournemouth to win | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | OFI Crete F.C. (OFI) 2:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Europa League | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0:0 GNK Dinamo Zagreb Europa League | GNK Dinamo Zagreb to win | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Ararat-Armenia FA 1:4 AC Sparta Prague (AC Sparta Praha) Europa League | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:0 G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril Praia) Liga Portugal | SC Braga to win | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Rio Ave F.C. (Rio Ave FC) 3:3 C.F. Estrela da Amadora (CF Estrela da Amadora) Liga Portugal | CF Estrela da Amadora to win | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) 2:1 S.C. Corinthians Paulista (SC Corinthians Paulista) Brasileiro Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | FC Famalicão 1:1 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Sporting CP to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Sheffield United F.C. (Sheffield United FC) 0:1 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) EFL Championship | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | 1. FC Köln 1:1 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | draw | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 1:3 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | SC Freiburg 5:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Derby County F.C. (Derby County FC) 1:2 Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham City FC) EFL Championship | Birmingham City FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | CU Técnica de Cajamarca 1:2 Juan Pablo II College Sports Club Association (ADC Juan Pablo II College) Peru Liga 1 | ADC Juan Pablo II College to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril Praia) 0:0 F.C. Arouca (FC Arouca) Liga Portugal | Estoril Praia to win | Won |