Polymarket · Football
Tarnished. is a Premier League pro on Polymarket: 54 picks, 74.1% win rate, $729 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 43 won, 17 lost, 71.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 21 | 21 | 12 | 57.1% |
| Serie A | 20 | 20 | 18 | 90.0% |
| MLS | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| Bundesliga | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
Tarnished. mainly predicts Premier League: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 74.1% hit rate over 54 orders, P&L $729, ROI 46.2%. In Premier League, 12 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-25 16:12 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:0 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Leeds United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Genoa CFC 1:0 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | Genoa CFC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | SS Lazio 2:1 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | SS Lazio -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 1:0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Como 1907 2:0 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | Como 1907 to win | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Minnesota United FC 3:2 St. Louis City SC MLS | St. Louis City SC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle Sounders FC 2:1 Sporting Kansas City MLS | Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Como 1907 2:1 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Como 1907 vs Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1:2 Austin FC MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Austin FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | SSC Napoli 1:0 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) Serie A | SSC Napoli to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | US Lecce 3:2 AC Monza Serie A | US Lecce vs AC Monza O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Real Salt Lake 0:2 New York City FC MLS | Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 Nashville SC MLS | Inter Miami CF to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Columbus Crew 0:1 Red Bull New York (New York Red Bulls) MLS | Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 Nashville SC MLS | Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 2:4 ACF Fiorentina Serie A | Venezia FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Houston Dynamo FC (Houston Dynamo) 2:1 Real Salt Lake MLS | Real Salt Lake to win | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) 3:2 SSC Napoli Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:1 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2:2 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 1:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 0:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | VfB Stuttgart 4:1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Frosinone Calcio 3:2 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | US Lecce 0:4 AS Roma Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Columbus Crew 1:3 New England Revolution MLS | New England Revolution to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | SS Lazio 1:0 Genoa CFC Serie A | Genoa CFC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | FC Augsburg 3:0 Schalke 04 (FC Schalke 04) Bundesliga | FC Schalke 04 to win | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 5:2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Manchester United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Inter Miami CF 7:1 CF Montréal MLS | Inter Miami CF -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) 0:1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | AFC Bournemouth 1:1 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Everton FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | AC Milan 2:0 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | AC Milan to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 5:1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1:4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | AC Milan 2:0 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Fulham FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 0:1 SS Lazio Serie A | Bologna FC 1909 to win | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | AS Roma 4:0 ACF Fiorentina Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 0:1 SS Lazio Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Atalanta BC 2:1 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Frosinone Calcio 0:1 Juventus FC Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Austin FC 1:1 Philadelphia Union MLS | Philadelphia Union to win | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | St. Louis City SC 2:1 Houston Dynamo FC (Houston Dynamo) MLS | St. Louis City SC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Toronto FC MLS | Inter Miami CF -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 0:2 US Lecce Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Udinese Calcio 1:1 Como 1907 Serie A | draw | Lost |