Polymarket · Football
Carefree-Quarter is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 87 picks, 66.7% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 43 won, 16 lost, 72.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 46 | 46 | 35 | 76.1% |
| EFL Cup | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Europa League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| EFL Championship | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Carefree-Quarter mainly predicts World Cup: 46 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 87 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 11.6%. In World Cup, 35 of 46 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-26 11:08 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Lincoln City F.C. (Lincoln City FC) Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham City FC) EFL Championship | Birmingham City FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-25 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Brazil -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5:0 Norwich City F.C. (Norwich City FC) EFL Cup | Manchester City FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) 1:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) EFL Cup | Aston Villa FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) EFL Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 1:0 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) EFL Cup | Everton FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 4:0 Lech Poznań (KKS Lech Poznań) Europa League | Crystal Palace FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | SK Sturm Graz (SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz) 0:0 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Europa League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:0 NK Celje Europa League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Ararat-Armenia FA 1:4 AC Sparta Prague (AC Sparta Praha) Europa League | AC Sparta Praha to win | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | AS Omónoia Leukosías 1:0 RC Celta de Vigo Europa League | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham City FC) 1:6 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) EFL Cup | Brentford FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Watford F.C. (Watford FC) 1:5 Peterborough United F.C. (Peterborough United FC) EFL Cup | Watford FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 3:1 Leicester City F.C. (Leicester City FC) EFL Cup | Ipswich Town FC to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | United States to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa to advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal to win | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Germany to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Uzbekistan O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina to win | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Saudi Arabia O/U 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Saudi Arabia O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain -1.5 spread | Won |