Polymarket · Football
winstonsmith is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 29 picks, 69.0% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 31 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 31 have settled: 21 won, 10 lost, 67.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 22 | 22 | 14 | 63.6% |
| Champions League | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
winstonsmith mainly predicts World Cup: 22 of the last 31 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.0% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 25.4%. In World Cup, 14 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-15 11:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | United States to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Côte d'Ivoire to advance | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | exact score 2 - 0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Japan to win | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) FIFA World Cup | Germany to win | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2025-11-26 | Olympiacos F.C. (Olympiakós SFP) 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2025-10-21 | PSV Eindhoven (PSV) 6:2 SSC Napoli Champions League | SSC Napoli to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-21 | Villarreal CF (Villarreal) 0:2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Manchester City FC to win | Won |
| 2025-10-21 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 4:0 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-21 | FC Barcelona 6:1 Olympiacos F.C. (Olympiakós SFP) Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2025-10-21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:7 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2025-09-18 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 1:2 Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2025-09-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City) 2:0 SSC Napoli Champions League | Manchester City to win | Won |
| 2025-09-17 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 4:0 Atalanta BC Champions League | Paris Saint Germain to win | Won |