Polymarket · Football
Reckless-Preservation is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 70 picks, 82.9% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 50 won, 10 lost, 83.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 25 | 25 | 22 | 88.0% |
| La Liga | 17 | 17 | 13 | 76.5% |
| Champions League | 8 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
Reckless-Preservation mainly predicts World Cup: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.9% hit rate over 70 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 18.5%. In World Cup, 22 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-22 02:48 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Real Betis Balompié 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Galatasaray SK 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Sevilla 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Levante UD 2:4 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Valencia CF 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Halftime · United States leading | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Côte d'Ivoire to advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Halftime · Germany leading | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Halftime · Argentina leading | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1:3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | Halftime · Netherlands leading | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) FIFA World Cup | Côte d'Ivoire to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Canada to win | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Halftime · France leading | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-04-25 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (AA Estudiantes) 1:2 Club Atlético Rosario Central (CA Rosario Central) Argentina Primera Division | CA Rosario Central to win | Won |
| 2026-04-24 | Levante UD 2:0 Sevilla La Liga | Levante UD to win | Won |
| 2026-04-23 | Mazatlán FC 4:3 Toluca FC (Deportivo Toluca FC) Liga MX | Deportivo Toluca FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-23 | FC Barcelona 1:0 RC Celta de Vigo La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-04-22 | Pumas UNAM (Pumas de la UNAM) 4:2 FC Juárez Liga MX | FC Juárez to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-22 | Girona 2:3 Real Betis Balompié La Liga | Real Betis Balompié to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-22 | Athletic Club (Athletic Bilbao) 1:0 Club Atlético Osasuna (CA Osasuna) La Liga | Athletic Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-22 | RCD Mallorca 1:1 Valencia CF La Liga | Valencia CF to win | Won |
| 2026-04-21 | Club Atlético Banfield (CA Banfield) 0:0 Independiente Rivadavia (CS Independiente Rivadavia) Argentina Primera Division | CS Independiente Rivadavia to win | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Club América (CF América) 2:1 Toluca FC (Deportivo Toluca FC) Liga MX | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Instituto AC Córdoba) 0:1 Estudiantes de La Plata Argentina Primera Division | Instituto AC Córdoba vs Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-16 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 4:3 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-14 | Club Atlético Lanús (CA Lanús) 1:0 Club Atlético Banfield (CA Banfield) Argentina Primera Division | CA Banfield to win | Won |
| 2026-04-14 | Levante UD 1:0 Getafe La Liga | Getafe CF to win | Won |
| 2026-04-13 | Athletic Club (Athletic Bilbao) 1:2 Villarreal CF (Villarreal) La Liga | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-13 | RC Celta de Vigo 0:3 Real Oviedo La Liga | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | CF Pachuca 4:2 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | Boca Juniors (CA Boca Juniors) 1:1 CA Independiente Argentina Primera Division | CA Boca Juniors to win | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | Estudiantes de La Plata 2:1 Unión de Santa Fe (CA Unión) Argentina Primera Division | CA Unión to win | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | Sevilla 2:1 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Won |
| 2026-04-11 | Real Madrid 1:1 Girona La Liga | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-04-08 | Real Madrid 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Champions League | Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-22 | FC Barcelona 1:0 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-03-15 | FC Barcelona 5:2 Sevilla La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Real Madrid 3:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 1:1 FC Barcelona Champions League | both teams to score | Won |