Polymarket · Football
Small-Scarf is a Premier League pro on Polymarket: 31 picks, 71.0% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 31 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 31 have settled: 22 won, 9 lost, 71.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 14 | 14 | 10 | 71.4% |
| FIFA World Cup | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| Champions League | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
Small-Scarf mainly predicts Premier League: 14 of the last 31 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.0% hit rate over 31 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 11.4%. In Premier League, 10 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-04 07:56 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Germany to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-17 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 0:4 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-01-20 | FK Bodø/Glimt 3:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-11 | Qarabağ FK (Qarabağ Ağdam FK) 2:4 AFC Ajax Champions League | AFC Ajax to win | Won |
| 2025-11-06 | Qarabağ FK (Qarabağ Ağdam FK) 2:2 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Champions League | Chelsea FC to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-05 | SK Slavia Prague (SK Slavia Praha) 0:3 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2025-11-01 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 2:0 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace to win | Won |
| 2025-10-25 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-25 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Arsenal to win | Won |
| 2025-10-23 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1:5 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Liverpool FC to win | Won |
| 2025-10-22 | Athletic Club 3:1 Qarabağ FK (Qarabağ Ağdam FK) Champions League | Athletic Club to win | Won |
| 2025-10-21 | FC Barcelona 6:1 Olympiacos F.C. (Olympiakós SFP) Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2025-10-18 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal to win | Won |
| 2025-10-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Manchester City to win | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea to win | Won |
| 2024-12-06 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:3 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Manchester United to win | Lost |
| 2024-12-04 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 3:0 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Manchester City to win | Won |
| 2024-12-03 | Leicester City F.C. (Leicester) 3:1 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) Premier League | West Ham to win | Lost |
| 2024-12-01 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Liverpool to win | Won |
| 2024-12-01 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 4:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Manchester United to win | Won |
| 2024-11-30 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 1:0 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Nottingham Forest to win | Won |