Polymarket · Football
Confused-Birthday is a La Liga pro on Polymarket: 42 picks, 64.3% win rate, $21K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 43 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 43 have settled: 28 won, 15 lost, 65.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 28 | 28 | 18 | 64.3% |
| Serie A | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
Confused-Birthday mainly predicts La Liga: 28 of the last 43 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.3% hit rate over 42 orders, P&L $21K, ROI 21.6%. In La Liga, 18 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-26 19:38 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Sevilla 2:0 Club Atlético Osasuna (CA Osasuna) La Liga | Sevilla FC vs CA Osasuna O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Udinese Calcio 0:2 AC Milan Serie A | AC Milan to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | RC Celta de Vigo 0:0 Real Betis Balompié La Liga | RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) 2:1 ACF Fiorentina Serie A | FC Internazionale Milano to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Como 1907 2:0 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | Como 1907 to win | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | AC Monza 4:0 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | Cagliari Calcio to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Real Racing Club 2:2 Valencia CF La Liga | Real Racing Club vs Valencia CF O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | AC Milan to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Sevilla 1:0 Valencia CF La Liga | Sevilla FC vs Valencia CF O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) 0:0 RC Celta de Vigo La Liga | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Juventus FC 2:0 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Juventus FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | AC Milan 2:0 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | AC Milan to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Deportivo Alavés 1:0 Villarreal CF (Villarreal) La Liga | Villarreal CF to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Valencia CF 0:1 Real Betis Balompié La Liga | Valencia CF vs Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Elche CF 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche CF vs FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Real Betis Balompié 1:0 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Real Betis Balompié vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Real Racing Club 2:2 Villarreal CF (Villarreal) La Liga | Real Racing Club vs Villarreal CF O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Sevilla 2:1 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) La Liga | Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-05-11 | Real Oviedo 0:0 Getafe La Liga | Getafe CF to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-09 | Levante UD 3:2 Club Atlético Osasuna (CA Osasuna) La Liga | Levante UD to win | Won |
| 2026-05-04 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-05-03 | Real Betis Balompié 3:0 Real Oviedo La Liga | Real Betis Balompié to win | Won |
| 2026-05-03 | Club Atlético Osasuna (CA Osasuna) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-05-02 | Villarreal CF (Villarreal) 5:1 Levante UD La Liga | Villarreal CF to win | Won |
| 2026-04-28 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0:0 Levante UD La Liga | Levante UD to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari Calcio 3:2 Atalanta BC Serie A | draw | Lost |
| 2026-04-24 | Real Betis Balompié 1:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-24 | Real Oviedo 1:1 Villarreal CF (Villarreal) La Liga | Villarreal CF to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-23 | Elche CF 3:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Elche CF to win | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Real Oviedo 1:0 Sevilla La Liga | Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-05 | Valencia CF 2:3 RC Celta de Vigo La Liga | Valencia CF vs RC Celta de Vigo O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Getafe 2:0 Athletic Club (Athletic Bilbao) La Liga | Getafe CF vs Athletic Club O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-04 | RCD Mallorca 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Lost |