Kalshi · Baseball
sweat.dough is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 70.6% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 12 | 70.6% |
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NCAAF | 8 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
| NBA | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
sweat.dough mainly predicts MLB: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.6% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 39.7%. In MLB, 12 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 15:41 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Atlanta Dream 80:69 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | ATL -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) EFL Cup | Brighton To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Torino FC 1:3 Como 1907 Serie A | Torino wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | UCF Knights 39:31 BYU Cougars NCAAF | UCF wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Golden State Warriors 108:111 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Virginia Cavaliers 16:19 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | Virginia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Orlando wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | DeVonta Smith: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Blake Corum: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Baltimore Orioles 5:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Samsung Lions 6:4 KIA Tigers Korea KBO | Kia Tigers wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | San Francisco Giants 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | A's first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Boston Red Sox 5:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | BOS +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | ND -21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | ND -16.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | West Georgia Wolves 10:24 Chattanooga Mocs NCAAF | Chattanooga wins | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Seattle Mariners 8:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Philadelphia Phillies 10:7 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Atlanta Braves 8:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Seattle Mariners 4:3 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Los Angeles Angels 1:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | SSG Landers 3:6 KIA Tigers Korea KBO | Kia Tigers vs SSG Landers winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Baltimore Orioles 8:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Cincinnati Reds 3:5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Tampa Bay 6:1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Baltimore 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Philadelphia 4:6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | SUI +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada: 6+ corners | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | Golden State Valkyries 90:88 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118:91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | SAS +3.5 | Lost |