Kalshi · Football
mad.wren3700 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 61.1% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 59 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 32 won, 27 lost, 54.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 28 | 28 | 13 | 46.4% |
| FIFA World Cup | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| MLS | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| Leagues Cup | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
mad.wren3700 mainly predicts MLB: 28 of the last 59 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.1% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 24.9%. In MLB, 13 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-28 03:18 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Jazz 123:132 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 2:0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Santos Laguna wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Real Madrid 4:1 Leipzig Champions League | RMA +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | FC Cincinnati 1:1 Seattle MLS | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston 1:0 LA Galaxy MLS | HOU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Leagues Cup | Los Angeles F vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 1:0 Philadelphia Leagues Cup | Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:9 Chicago WS MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Toronto Blue Jays 1:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Baltimore Orioles 0:8 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | LA Galaxy 0:0 FC Dallas MLS | Los Angeles G vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | FC Cincinnati 4:2 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Cincinnati vs San Jose Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia 1:0 Seattle MLS | Philadelphia vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 2:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | COL +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 2:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | DET -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | LA Galaxy 1:3 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | Los Angeles G vs Saint Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Texas Rangers 2:4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 15:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Colorado Rockies 0:8 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Atlanta Braves 3:8 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Seattle Mariners 8:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians 13:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 8:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | LA Galaxy 0:3 Los Angeles FC MLS | LAFC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | LA Galaxy 0:3 Los Angeles FC MLS | Los Angeles G vs Los Angeles F Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | New York Yankees 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 163.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Cincinnati 4:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Detroit 10:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Detroit 4:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Julian Quinones: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Chicago Cubs 6:4 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Washington 5:11 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Atlanta 9:10 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colorado 4:6 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Lost |