Kalshi · Baseball
daffydog is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 81.3% win rate, $291 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 19 | 19 | 12 | 63.2% |
| MLB | 18 | 18 | 15 | 83.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| Premier League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
daffydog mainly predicts NFL: 19 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 81.3% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $291, ROI 21.8%. In NFL, 12 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-10 13:46 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | UNLV Rebels 13:7 North Dakota St. NCAAF | North Dakota St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | GB -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | BUF -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Miami Dolphins 10:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Team Under 17.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | San Francisco 49ers 35:13 MIA Dolphins NFL | SF -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Kenneth Walker III: 40+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Rashee Rice: 40+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27:13 Miami Dolphins NFL | Michael Mayer: 4+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Tennessee Titans 10:23 New York J NFL | Carnell Tate: 25+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers 37:59 Chicago Bears NFL | Cole Kmet: 15+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | LAC -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Omarion Hampton: 50+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Air Force Falcons 32:38 North Dakota St. NCAAF | NDSU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | Puka Nacua: 60+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | Rhamondre Stevenson: 40+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | Drake Maye: 1+ passing touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | ND -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13:14 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | GT -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Angels 3:7 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Atlanta Braves 3:7 San Francisco Giants MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Texas 8:1 Athletics MLB | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 17:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Cincinnati Reds 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Detroit Tigers 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | New York Mets 2:8 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Washington Nationals 13:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City vs Bournemouth Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 6:2 Athletics MLB | Under 12.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Hull City vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Colorado Rockies 4:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City vs Bournemouth Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:0 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Milwaukee 6:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Tampa Bay 5:12 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Minnesota 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Minnesota Winner | Won |