Kalshi · American football
shartdaddy is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 48 picks, 64.6% win rate, $482 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 24 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% |
| NCAAF | 17 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% |
| NFL | 14 | 14 | 8 | 57.1% |
| Nations League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Peru Liga 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
shartdaddy mainly predicts MLB: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.6% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $482, ROI 30.8%. In MLB, 11 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 21:32 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 48:23 Maryland Terrapins NCAAF | Maryland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | UAB Blazers 33:14 Samford Bulldogs NCAAF | Samford wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Missouri Tigers 45:17 Florida Gators NCAAF | MIZZ +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Tennessee 24:14 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | TENN +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:35 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | North Carolina Tar Heels 26:37 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | ND +21.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | NC St. 31:28 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | Idaho wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Virginia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Northwestern Wildcats 34:13 Penn St. NCAAF | Penn St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | North Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Cienciano 1:1 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | D'Andre Swift: 15+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Seattle 5:7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | LAA +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 6:5 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | UAB Blazers 24:20 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | Navy wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Under 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | ARMY -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston 2:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Skyy Moore: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Matthew Golden: 2+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Christian Watson: 2+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Tucker Kraft: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Jordan Love: 250+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Michael Penix Jr.: 175+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Philadelphia 1:5 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 4:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Seattle first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Team Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 0:1 Cleveland MLB | Boston first 5 innings winner | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Jordan Love: 225+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Bijan Robinson: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | GB +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 3:1 New York Mets MLB | Texas first 5 innings winner | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6:5 Houston MLB | HOU +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:3 Miami MLB | MIA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2:3 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Yankees 9:2 Tampa Bay MLB | New York Y wins | Won |