Kalshi · Baseball
set.fluid is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 27 picks, 66.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 54 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 54 have settled: 31 won, 23 lost, 57.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 27 | 27 | 18 | 66.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 9 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| NCAAF | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| Korea KBO | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
set.fluid mainly predicts MLB: 27 of the last 54 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 27 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 36.9%. In MLB, 18 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-11 14:48 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jacksonville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Arizona St. wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Chicago White Sox 5:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | IND -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | CWS +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Kansas City 11:14 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Konata Mumpfield: 15+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Tyler Warren: 40+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Rashee Rice: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego State Aztecs 13:26 James Madison Dukes NCAAF | JMU +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | KC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Minnesota Twins 3:8 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Air Force Falcons 32:38 North Dakota St. NCAAF | North Dakota St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kentucky Wildcats 17:45 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | ALA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Chicago Cubs 5:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Houston Astros 1:5 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Washington Nationals 6:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | TCU to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Mets 6:2 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Mets 1:3 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 3:0 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Athletics 4:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | LG Twins 8:0 NC Dinos Korea KBO | LG Twins wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Athletics 6:9 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Texas Rangers 0:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 5:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Athletics 3:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Houston Texans 7:27 Los Angeles C NFL | Houston to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rockies 8:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:9 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Cincinnati Reds 1:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Minnesota Twins 0:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Angels 2:3 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 2:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |