Kalshi · American football
marginal.hare5120 is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 94.1% win rate, $677 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 24 | 24 | 14 | 58.3% |
| NCAAF | 24 | 24 | 19 | 79.2% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| FIBA World Cup (W) | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
marginal.hare5120 mainly predicts NFL: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 94.1% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $677, ROI 42.6%. In NFL, 14 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-27 23:56 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 2+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Auburn Tigers 21:15 Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAF | Auburn wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Iowa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Tucker Kraft: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Drake London: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Liberty 65:83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Washington Mystics 79:69 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Phoenix Mercury 87:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 40+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 30+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Phoenix Mercury 87:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Liberty 84:95 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 70+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 14:26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:23 CLE Browns NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | HOU Texans 6:20 CIN Bengals NFL | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Minnesota Lynx 81:93 New York Liberty WNBA | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Portland Fire 91:94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Oklahoma to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Belgium women's national football team (Belgium W) 74:93 Germany women's national football team (Germany W) FIBA World Cup (W) | Germany wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Kansas City Royals 4:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Hungary women's national football team (Hungary W) 82:73 Republic of Korea W FIBA World Cup (W) | Hungary wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Prairie View A&M Panthers 52:14 Texas Southern Tigers NCAAF | Prairie View A&M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Campbell Fighting Camels 28:19 Western Carolina Catamounts NCAAF | Campbell wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Ole Miss to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | UCLA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 6:21 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | UNLV wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Utah St. 17:29 Idaho State Bengals NCAAF | Idaho St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Memphis Tigers 42:24 Arkansas State Red Wolves NCAAF | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Colorado State Rams 35:13 Wyoming Cowboys NCAAF | Colorado St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Charlotte 41:43 The Citadel Bulldogs NCAAF | The Citadel wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 24:10 Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAF | Tulsa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Oregon wins | Won |