Kalshi · Baseball
impossible.pheasant7764 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 63.2% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 28 won, 31 lost, 47.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 20 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% |
| Leagues Cup | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Liga MX | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| NFL | 5 | 4 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
impossible.pheasant7764 mainly predicts MLB: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 29.9%. In MLB, 12 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-30 02:14 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | USA 4:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 Chicago Fire FC Leagues Cup | Monterrey vs Chicago Fire: Monterrey To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Miami Marlins 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Fukuoka Hawks 0:3 Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB | Orix Buffaloes wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13:34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs Arizona Pro Football game: DAL Cowboys wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 5:0 Tijuana de Caliente Liga MX | Guadalajara vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles R 34:0 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | New Orleans vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: LA Rams wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2:0 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Tigres vs Atlante Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Chicago WS 6:4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Chicago WS 0:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 9:7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Baltimore Orioles 3:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Atletico 2:0 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | Atletico vs Malaga Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Atletico 2:0 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | Atletico vs Malaga Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New England Patriots 13:13 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Indianapolis to win | Pending |
| 2026-08-14 | America 1:1 Austin FC Leagues Cup | America vs Austin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 0:1 Los Angeles FC Leagues Cup | Toluca vs Los Angeles F Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:1 FC Dallas Leagues Cup | Guadalajara vs Dallas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 1:2 Orlando Leagues Cup | Monterrey vs Orlando Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 5:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:3 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Atlante Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 3:2 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Queretaro vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Baltimore Orioles 0:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Seattle Mariners 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) 2:1 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0:1 America Liga MX | Queretaro vs America Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Vitinha: 1+ assists | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA: 8+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |