Polymarket · Football
Same-Incidence is a Champions League pro on Polymarket: 88 picks, 64.8% win rate, $10K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 35 | 35 | 19 | 54.3% |
| Serie A | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| Conference League | 8 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
| Ligue 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
Same-Incidence mainly predicts Champions League: 35 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.8% hit rate over 88 orders, P&L $10K, ROI 11.1%. In Champions League, 19 of 35 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-21 21:48 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) 1:0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk Champions League | FC Internazionale Milano vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) 1:0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk Champions League | FC Internazionale Milano vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) 1:0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk Champions League | FC Internazionale Milano vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) 1:0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk Champions League | FC Internazionale Milano vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Lille OSC 2:4 Galatasaray SK Champions League | Lille OSC vs Galatasaray SK O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Lille OSC 2:4 Galatasaray SK Champions League | Lille OSC vs Galatasaray SK O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Lille OSC 2:4 Galatasaray SK Champions League | Lille OSC vs Galatasaray SK O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Lille OSC 2:4 Galatasaray SK Champions League | Lille OSC vs Galatasaray SK O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:3 Villarreal CF (Villarreal) Champions League | Liverpool FC vs Villarreal CF O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:3 Villarreal CF (Villarreal) Champions League | Liverpool FC vs Villarreal CF O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | VfB Stuttgart vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | VfB Stuttgart vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | VfB Stuttgart vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | VfB Stuttgart vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:3 Villarreal CF (Villarreal) Champions League | Liverpool FC vs Villarreal CF O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:3 Villarreal CF (Villarreal) Champions League | Liverpool FC vs Villarreal CF O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Porto 0:2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | FC Porto vs Manchester City FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2:1 Sabah Football Club (Sabah FK) Champions League | MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Sabah FK O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-10 | FK Shakhtar Donetsk 3:0 AZ Alkmaar (AZ) Conference League | FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 2:0 RC Strasbourg Alsace Conference League | 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RC Strasbourg Alsace O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-09 | Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) 3:0 A.E.K. (AEK) Conference League | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs AEK O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-09 | FC Barcelona 0:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | FC Barcelona vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-09 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-09 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-09 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2026-03-23 | ACF Fiorentina 1:1 Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) Serie A | ACF Fiorentina vs FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-20 | AC Sparta Prague (AC Sparta Praha) 0:4 AZ Alkmaar (AZ) Conference League | AC Sparta Praha vs AZ O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-13 | ACF Fiorentina 2:1 Raków Częstochowa (RKS Raków Częstochowa) Conference League | ACF Fiorentina vs RKS Raków Częstochowa O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-13 | ACF Fiorentina 2:1 Raków Częstochowa (RKS Raków Częstochowa) Conference League | ACF Fiorentina vs RKS Raków Częstochowa O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-12 | Samsunspor FC (Samsunspor) 1:3 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Conference League | Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-12 | Samsunspor FC (Samsunspor) 1:3 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Conference League | Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-12 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 5:2 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Chelsea FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-12 | Real Madrid 3:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-12 | Real Madrid 3:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-12 | FK Bodø/Glimt 3:0 Sporting CP Champions League | FK Bodø/Glimt vs Sporting CP O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-12 | FK Bodø/Glimt 3:0 Sporting CP Champions League | FK Bodø/Glimt vs Sporting CP O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Galatasaray SK 1:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Galatasaray SK vs Liverpool FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-09 | Genoa CFC 2:1 AS Roma Serie A | Genoa CFC vs AS Roma O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | SSC Napoli 2:2 AS Roma Serie A | SSC Napoli vs AS Roma O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-02-15 | Torino FC 1:2 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) Serie A | Torino FC vs Bologna FC 1909 O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | Parma Calcio 1913 2:1 Hellas Verona FC Serie A | Parma Calcio 1913 vs Hellas Verona FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | US Cremonese 0:0 Genoa CFC Serie A | US Cremonese vs Genoa CFC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-02-15 | FC Metz 1:3 AJ Auxerre Ligue 1 | FC Metz vs AJ Auxerre O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | F.C. Lorient (FC Lorient) 2:0 Angers SCO Ligue 1 | FC Lorient vs Angers SCO O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | Le Havre AC 2:1 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Le Havre AC vs Toulouse FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-08 | AJ Auxerre 0:0 Paris FC Ligue 1 | AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-02-08 | Angers SCO 1:0 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Angers SCO vs Toulouse FC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-02-08 | US Sassuolo Calcio 0:5 Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) Serie A | US Sassuolo Calcio vs FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-08 | US Lecce 2:1 Udinese Calcio Serie A | US Lecce vs Udinese Calcio O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-07 | FC Nantes 0:1 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | FC Nantes vs Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-02-07 | Stade Brestois 29 2:0 F.C. Lorient (FC Lorient) Ligue 1 | Stade Brestois 29 vs FC Lorient O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-07 | R.C. Lens (Racing Club de Lens) 3:1 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Ligue 1 | Racing Club de Lens vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-07 | Genoa CFC 2:3 SSC Napoli Serie A | Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli O/U 1.5 | Won |