Kalshi · Baseball
melon737 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 41 picks, 61.0% win rate, $6K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 51 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 51 have settled: 28 won, 23 lost, 54.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 45 | 45 | 25 | 55.6% |
| FIFA World Cup | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
melon737 mainly predicts MLB: 45 of the last 51 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.0% hit rate over 41 orders, P&L $6K, ROI 19.1%. In MLB, 25 of 45 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-14 23:06 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Washington Commanders 20:7 Miami Dolphins NFL | Washington to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Pittsburgh First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Reds 1:0 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | LAD +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Washington Nationals 6:12 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Chicago WS 4:5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Detroit Tigers 6:4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | BOS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 0:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 0:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Boston Red Sox 4:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:9 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Baltimore Orioles 3:1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:9 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | New York Yankees 7:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | STL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Atlanta Dream 87:109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | New York Mets 2:6 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | BOS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Cincinnati Reds 1:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Cincinnati Reds 1:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 2:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | PHI +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0:4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Seattle 7:6 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | San Antonio 118:91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | Baltimore 9:7 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | San Diego 0:3 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs San Diego Winner | Won |