Kalshi · Baseball
fixed.mouse is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 34 picks, 64.7% win rate, $597 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 34 | 34 | 22 | 64.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
fixed.mouse mainly predicts MLB: 34 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 34 orders, P&L $597, ROI 25.7%. In MLB, 22 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-23 22:21 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | North Dakota St. 28:0 Wyoming Cowboys NCAAF | Over 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | D'Andre Swift: 15+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Seattle Mariners 5:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Detroit Lions 17:13 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Detroit Pro Football game: WAS Commanders wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 10:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:6 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Atlanta Braves 5:4 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | New York Mets 0:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Boston Red Sox 6:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Colorado Rockies 8:7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Atlanta Braves 3:8 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Cleveland Guardians 5:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Boston Red Sox 6:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Houston Astros 2:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Athletics 15:1 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Seattle Mariners 4:3 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Atlanta Braves 6:7 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Los Angeles Angels 1:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Athletics 4:23 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Cincinnati 0:1 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Baltimore 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Tampa Bay 4:12 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Cincinnati 11:5 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Miami 2:0 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 12:4 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Colorado 6:4 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Houston 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Indiana Fever 101:108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |