Kalshi · Baseball
dumb.one is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 49 picks, 61.2% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 40 | 40 | 24 | 60.0% |
| NFL | 13 | 13 | 7 | 53.8% |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
dumb.one mainly predicts MLB: 40 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.2% hit rate over 49 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 12.3%. In MLB, 24 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 20:15 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | DET -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Under 53.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | Penn St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Under 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Under 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Under 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | CeeDee Lamb: 6+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Bucky Irving: 50+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Chris Godwin Jr.: 4+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | George Pickens: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Team Over 27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Jameson Williams: 70+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN Vikings 15:10 MIA Dolphins NFL | MIN +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Athletics 2:13 Houston MLB | HOU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees Baltimore MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Jonnu Smith: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | Stefon Diggs: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | North Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 14:4 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Houston Astros 3:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Houston Astros 3:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Houston Astros 6:2 Chicago WS MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Houston Astros 2:0 Chicago WS MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Houston Astros 1:5 Chicago WS MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Houston Astros 6:3 Chicago WS MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Mets 3:6 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Mets 6:2 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees 0:6 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Mets 1:3 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | New York Yankees 1:5 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Washington Nationals 13:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Angels 7:0 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | San Francisco Giants 3:6 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | San Diego Padres 3:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3:7 Athletics MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | New York Mets 7:3 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Washington 1:7 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington Winner | Lost |